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Institute vs Loughgall

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Institute host Loughgall in the NIFL Championship. This one's hard to separate. Institute have averaged 1.75 scored and 1.31 conceded recently, against Loughgall's 1.56 scored and 1.06 conceded. Head-to-head, Institute have won 2 to Loughgall's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 20, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.25) point toward Loughgall. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Institute
15%
Draws
53%
Loughgall
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Loughgall

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Loughgall lately — more wins on the board than Institute.
  • Model gives Loughgall a 53% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Institute Clean Sheet 19%
Loughgall Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Institute Loughgall
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 15 17
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.75 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 NIFL Championship
Loughgall vs Institute
1:3
Mar 3, 2026 NIFL Championship
Institute vs Loughgall
2:0
Feb 7, 2026 Irish Cup
Loughgall vs Institute
2:1
Aug 8, 2025 NIFL Championship
Loughgall vs Institute
2:0
Jan 14, 2025 Irish Cup
Institute vs Loughgall
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Institute 28 / 100
Loughgall 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Institute Loughgall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Loughgall Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Institute scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Loughgall's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 34 matches.

Solid form: Institute remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Institute VS Loughgall
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Institute

(Home)
11 Aug
Institute
1 : 2
Ballinamallard
07 Aug
Strabane Athletic
0 : 1
Institute
18 Jul
Limavady
2 : 1
Institute
11 Jul
Dungannon
3 : 1
Institute
25 Apr
Armagh
1 : 4
Institute
Page 1 of 7

Loughgall

(Away)
11 Aug
Loughgall
2 : 2
Newington FC
08 Aug
Rathfriland Rangers
1 : 3
Loughgall
24 Jul
Dollingstown
0 : 3
Loughgall
21 Jul
Loughgall
1 : 4
Dungannon
18 Jul
Ballyclare
1 : 4
Loughgall
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newington FC 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Ards 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
3 Loughgall 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
4 Queens University 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
5 Harland & Wolff 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
6 Glenavon 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
7 Strabane Athletic 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
8 Institute 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Ballinamallard 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
10 Annagh 2 1 0 1 5:6 3
11 Warrenpoint 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
12 Newry City 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
13 Dundela 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
14 Moyola 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
15 Armagh 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
16 Rathfriland Rangers 2 0 0 2 3:7 0
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)