Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Institute vs Newry City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship game between Institute and Newry City finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newry City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Institute
30%
Draws
23%
Newry City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Institute

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Newry City haven't matched Institute's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Institute a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Institute Clean Sheet 10%
Newry City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Institute Newry City
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 2 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 NIFL Championship
Institute vs Newry City
1:3
Apr 26, 2025 NIFL Championship
Newry City vs Institute
0:3
Feb 15, 2025 NIFL Championship
Institute vs Newry City
1:1
Dec 21, 2024 NIFL Championship
Newry City vs Institute
0:2
Oct 12, 2024 NIFL Championship
Institute vs Newry City
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Institute 74 / 100
Newry City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Institute Newry City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Institute Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Institute scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Newry City has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Institute has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Institute VS Newry City
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Institute

(Home)
03 Oct
Institute
7 : 0
Newington FC
26 Sept
Annagh
5 : 0
Institute
19 Sept
Institute
2 : 0
Warrenpoint
12 Sept
Armagh
3 : 5
Institute
05 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
0 : 2
Institute
Page 1 of 6

Newry City

(Away)
03 Oct
Loughgall
2 : 1
Newry City
25 Sept
Newry City
3 : 2
Harland & Wolff
18 Sept
Newry City
1 : 1
Annagh
11 Sept
Strabane Athletic
2 : 2
Newry City
04 Sept
Newry City
2 : 2
Armagh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annagh 10 6 3 1 24:13 21
2 Glenavon 10 6 2 2 25:13 20
3 Newington FC 10 6 2 2 24:18 20
4 Queens University 10 6 1 3 20:7 19
5 Institute 10 5 1 4 20:17 16
6 Harland & Wolff 10 5 0 5 18:16 15
7 Newry City 10 4 3 3 16:18 15
8 Warrenpoint 10 4 2 4 18:15 14
9 Ballinamallard 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
10 Loughgall 10 3 4 3 14:19 13
11 Ards 10 3 3 4 12:13 12
12 Dundela 10 2 5 3 18:20 11
13 Moyola 10 3 2 5 10:20 11
14 Strabane Athletic 10 2 3 5 10:19 9
15 Rathfriland Rangers 10 2 0 8 9:22 6
16 Armagh 10 0 5 5 8:16 5
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)