Sport Picks
Inter Bogotá vs Atl. Nacional
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá 
Match Events
20'
20'
Duarte D.
34'
34'
Poveda I.
42'
42'
Julio R.
AI Match Summary
The Primera A game between Inter Bogotá and Atl. Nacional finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Nacional.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atl. Nacional
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Inter Bogotá haven't matched Atl. Nacional's recent run of results.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on Atl. Nacional taking it.
- Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Atl. Nacional have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Inter Bogotá Clean Sheet 14%
Atl. Nacional Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Inter Bogotá | Atl. Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 32 |
| Wins | 8 | 23 |
| Draws | 11 | 1 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 0.91 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 17, 2026 Primera A
Inter Bogotá vs Atl. Nacional
2:3
May 12, 2026 Primera A
Atl. Nacional vs Inter Bogotá
7:1
May 9, 2026 Primera A
Inter Bogotá vs Atl. Nacional
1:2
Mar 22, 2026 Primera A
Atl. Nacional vs Inter Bogotá
3:0
Jul 19, 2025 Primera A
Atl. Nacional vs Inter Bogotá
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Inter Bogotá Compare
Top Goalscorer Duarte D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Garces Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Atl. Nacional Compare
Top Goalscorer Poveda I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cabrera E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Inter Bogotá 11 / 100
Atl. Nacional 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Inter Bogotá Atl. Nacional
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atl. Nacional Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.
Inter Bogotá found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Atl. Nacional let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.
Inter Bogotá has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Inter Bogotá VS Atl. Nacional
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Inter Bogotá
(Home) 17 Sept
Inter Bogotá
2 : 3 Atl. Nacional
12 Sept
Inter Bogotá
3 : 2 Llaneros
09 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
1 : 2 Inter Bogotá
06 Sept
Inter Bogotá
2 : 2 Aguilas Doradas
30 Aug
Millonarios
0 : 0 Inter Bogotá
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Inter Bogotá
2 : 3 Atl. Nacional
12 Sept
Inter Bogotá
3 : 2 Llaneros
06 Sept
Inter Bogotá
2 : 2 Aguilas Doradas
28 Aug
Inter Bogotá
1 : 1 Dep. Pasto
05 Aug
Inter Bogotá
1 : 0 Jaguares de Cordoba
Page 1 of 3
Atl. Nacional
(Away) 17 Sept
Inter Bogotá
2 : 3 Atl. Nacional
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional
2 : 0 Aguilas Doradas
08 Sept
Atl. Nacional
3 : 0 Dep. Cali
30 Aug
Alianza
1 : 5 Atl. Nacional
27 Aug
Atl. Nacional
2 : 1 Dep. Cali
Page 1 of 7
17 Sept
Inter Bogotá
2 : 3 Atl. Nacional
30 Aug
Alianza
1 : 5 Atl. Nacional
23 Aug
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 2 Atl. Nacional
10 Aug
America De Cali
1 : 0 Atl. Nacional
02 Aug
Jaguares de Cordoba
0 : 3 Atl. Nacional
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America De Cali | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20:5 | 20 |
| 2 | Millonarios | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Atl. Nacional | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17:6 | 18 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:10 | 16 |
| 5 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:10 | 16 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Dep. Cali | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:8 | 15 |
| 8 | Bucaramanga | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:8 | 14 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:12 | 12 |
| 10 | Aguilas Doradas | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Inter Bogotá | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:15 | 11 |
| 13 | Cucuta | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:18 | 9 |
| 14 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 15 | Dep. Pasto | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Alianza | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:20 | 8 |
| 17 | Chico | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:18 | 8 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:14 | 7 |
| 19 | Dep. Pereira | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | 7 |
| 20 | Junior | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8:13 | 3 |
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)
