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Stadium Background

Inter Bogotá vs Once Caldas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Zapata Ramirez J. A.
Assist: Roa A.
21' Event
Duarte D.
Assist: Julio R.
26'
Colorado A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Inter Bogotá
30%
Draws
31%
Once Caldas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Inter Bogotá

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Once Caldas have won more games recently than Inter Bogotá.
  • Model gives Inter Bogotá a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Inter Bogotá Clean Sheet 20%
Once Caldas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Bogotá Once Caldas
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 11 10
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.14 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Primera A
Inter Bogotá vs Once Caldas
1:1
Apr 20, 2026 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Inter Bogotá
2:1
Oct 7, 2025 Primera A
Inter Bogotá vs Once Caldas
0:1
Apr 16, 2025 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Inter Bogotá
3:0
Aug 4, 2024 Primera A
Inter Bogotá vs Once Caldas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Bogotá Compare

Top Goalscorer Duarte D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Once Caldas Compare

Top Goalscorer Zapata Ramirez J. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Bogotá 42 / 100
Once Caldas 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Bogotá Once Caldas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Bogotá found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Once Caldas let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Inter Bogotá stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter Bogotá VS Once Caldas
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Bogotá

(Home)
04 Oct
Inter Bogotá
1 : 1
Once Caldas
26 Sept
Dep. Pereira
0 : 0
Inter Bogotá
20 Sept
Bucaramanga
2 : 0
Inter Bogotá
17 Sept
Inter Bogotá
2 : 3
Atl. Nacional
12 Sept
Inter Bogotá
3 : 2
Llaneros
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Once Caldas

(Away)
04 Oct
Inter Bogotá
1 : 1
Once Caldas
26 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 3
Bucaramanga
20 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 0
Once Caldas
16 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Deportes Tolima
13 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 2
Dep. Cali
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 12 8 3 1 24:7 27
2 Dep. Cali 12 7 3 2 20:9 24
3 Bucaramanga 11 6 5 0 20:10 23
4 Atl. Nacional 10 7 1 2 21:10 22
5 Santa Fe 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
6 Millonarios 13 5 6 2 18:11 21
7 Ind. Medellin 12 6 2 4 19:16 20
8 Deportes Tolima 12 5 4 3 15:13 19
9 Cucuta 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
10 Llaneros 12 4 2 6 15:16 14
11 Aguilas Doradas 11 3 5 3 14:15 14
12 Once Caldas 12 3 4 5 15:16 13
13 Inter Bogotá 13 2 7 4 14:18 13
14 Chico 11 3 3 5 10:18 12
15 Alianza 12 3 2 7 12:24 11
16 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 12 1 7 4 13:18 10
17 Junior 11 2 3 6 16:20 9
18 Dep. Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
19 Dep. Pereira 11 1 5 5 7:17 8
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 11 1 4 6 11:20 7
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)