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Inter de Minas vs Patrocinense

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2021 game between Inter de Minas and Patrocinense finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Patrocinense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Inter de Minas
15%
Draws
36%
Patrocinense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Inter de Minas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Inter de Minas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Inter de Minas's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Inter de Minas Clean Sheet 20%
Patrocinense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter de Minas Patrocinense
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.52 0.78
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2021 Mineiro 3
Inter de Minas vs Patrocinense
0:1
Sep 25, 2021 Mineiro 3
Patrocinense vs Inter de Minas
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter de Minas 67 / 100
Patrocinense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter de Minas Patrocinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter de Minas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter de Minas scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Patrocinense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Patrocinense lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter de Minas VS Patrocinense
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter de Minas

(Home)
19 Sept
Novo Esporte
2 : 1
Inter de Minas
11 Oct
Novo Esporte
2 : 1
Inter de Minas
03 Oct
Inter de Minas
1 : 3
Tupi-MG
26 Sept
Inter de Minas
3 : 0
Boston City
13 Sept
Uniao Luziense
0 : 0
Inter de Minas
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Patrocinense

(Away)
25 Jul
Democrata SL
2 : 1
Patrocinense
19 Jul
Patrocinense
1 : 4
Democrata SL
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
04 Jul
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Guarani-MG
01 Jul
Caldense
1 : 2
Patrocinense
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santarritense 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
2 Varginha 8 4 2 2 18:13 14
3 Pocos de Caldas 8 3 5 0 14:5 14
4 Tres Coracoes 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
5 Figueirense Esporte Clube 8 0 1 7 6:19 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberaba 8 5 1 2 25:7 16
2 Araxa 8 4 2 2 17:7 14
3 Patrocinense 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
4 Inter de Minas 8 2 5 1 7:6 11
5 Araguari 8 0 2 6 2:30 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America TO 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
2 Manchester Futebol 8 4 2 2 10:5 14
3 Contagem 8 4 1 3 8:5 13
4 Boston City 8 4 1 3 11:7 13
5 Betis 8 0 1 7 3:20 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)