Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inter Escaldes vs Atletic Escaldes

Andorra Andorra

Super Cup Estadi Nacional, Andorra la Vella
Sat, Sep 27, 2025
2 - 3
04:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Valero D.
18'
Estelles A.
33' Event
Chouaib F.

AI Match Summary

Atletic Escaldes in this Super Cup tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Inter Escaldes
44%
Draws
20%
Atletic Escaldes
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Inter Escaldes lately — more wins on the board than Atletic Escaldes.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Inter Escaldes have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Inter Escaldes, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Inter Escaldes Clean Sheet 14%
Atletic Escaldes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Escaldes Atletic Escaldes
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 20 14
Draws 4 3
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Primera Divisió
Inter Escaldes vs Atletic Escaldes
3:1
Apr 30, 2026 Andorra Cup
Atletic Escaldes vs Inter Escaldes
2:1
Jan 25, 2026 Primera Divisió
Atletic Escaldes vs Inter Escaldes
0:1
Nov 23, 2025 Primera Divisió
Inter Escaldes vs Atletic Escaldes
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 Super Cup
Inter Escaldes vs Atletic Escaldes
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Escaldes Compare

Top Goalscorer Chouaib F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Atletic Escaldes Compare

Top Goalscorer Valero D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Berlanga D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Escaldes 35 / 100
Atletic Escaldes 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Escaldes Atletic Escaldes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Inter Escaldes scored in 97% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Atletic Escaldes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 27 matches.

Inter Escaldes went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter Escaldes VS Atletic Escaldes
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Escaldes

(Home)
14 Jul
Inter Escaldes
1 : 1
Lincoln Red Imps
07 Jul
Lincoln Red Imps
3 : 1
Inter Escaldes
16 May
Carroi
2 : 1
Inter Escaldes
10 May
Inter Escaldes
3 : 1
Atletic Escaldes
30 Apr
Atletic Escaldes
2 : 1
Inter Escaldes
Page 1 of 6

Atletic Escaldes

(Away)
16 Jul
Mornar Bar
1 : 2
Atletic Escaldes
09 Jul
Atletic Escaldes
2 : 1
Mornar Bar
23 May
FC Santa Coloma
2 : 3
Atletic Escaldes
17 May
Atletic Escaldes
2 : 0
Penya
10 May
Inter Escaldes
3 : 1
Atletic Escaldes
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Inter Escaldes2
Atletic Escaldes3