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Inter Ilfov vs Progresul Spartac - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Inter Ilfov host Progresul Spartac in the Liga 3 - Seria 5. This one's hard to separate. Inter Ilfov have averaged 1.8 scored and 1.73 conceded recently, against Progresul Spartac's 1.78 scored and 1.75 conceded. Head-to-head, Inter Ilfov have won 2 to Progresul Spartac's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 14, 2025, ending 0:2. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.13) point toward Inter Ilfov. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Inter Ilfov
20%
Draws
7%
Progresul Spartac
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Inter Ilfov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Inter Ilfov lately — more wins on the board than Progresul Spartac.
  • Model gives Inter Ilfov a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Inter Ilfov Clean Sheet 20%
Progresul Spartac Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Ilfov Progresul Spartac
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 12
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.8 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Inter Ilfov vs Progresul Spartac
0:2
Sep 6, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Progresul Spartac vs Inter Ilfov
2:4
Aug 6, 2025 Romanian Cup
Inter Ilfov vs Progresul Spartac
2:0
Nov 29, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Inter Ilfov vs Progresul Spartac
0:1
Sep 28, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Progresul Spartac vs Inter Ilfov
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Ilfov 85 / 100
Progresul Spartac 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Ilfov Progresul Spartac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Ilfov Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progresul Spartac's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

Inter Ilfov scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Inter Ilfov went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter Ilfov VS Progresul Spartac
2.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Ilfov

(Home)
23 Oct
CSM Alexandria
0 : 3
Inter Ilfov
16 Oct
Inter Ilfov
3 : 1
Oxigen Bucuresti
10 Oct
Progresul Mogosoaia
2 : 1
Inter Ilfov
02 Oct
Cetatea Turnu Magurele
2 : 2
Inter Ilfov
25 Sept
Inter Ilfov
5 : 1
Din. Bucuresti 2
Page 1 of 6

Progresul Spartac

(Away)
27 Oct
Progresul Spartac
0 : 6
Petrolul
24 Oct
Progresul Spartac
0 : 0
Cetatea Turnu Magurele
16 Oct
Din. Bucuresti 2
2 : 0
Progresul Spartac
10 Oct
Progresul Spartac
1 : 2
Voluntari 2
02 Oct
Adunatii-Copaceni
2 : 1
Progresul Spartac
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Omega Sport 10 7 3 0 14:6 24
2 Inter Ilfov 10 6 2 2 25:14 20
3 SCM Dunarea Giurgiu 10 5 5 0 22:12 20
4 CSM Alexandria 10 5 3 2 14:10 18
5 Progresul Mogosoaia 10 4 3 3 17:19 15
6 Din. Bucuresti 2 10 4 0 6 10:15 12
7 Adunatii-Copaceni 10 4 0 6 7:17 12
8 Cetatea Turnu Magurele 10 2 5 3 20:14 11
9 FCSB 2 10 3 1 6 20:26 10
10 Oxigen Bucuresti 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Voluntari 2 10 2 2 6 12:18 8
12 Progresul Spartac 10 2 1 7 10:13 7
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 5 (Relegation Group)