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Inter Lagos vs Crown FC

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Inter Lagos play Crown FC in the NNL. It looks like a close match. Recently, Inter Lagos averaged 1.57 goals scored and 0.67 conceded. Crown FC averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Inter Lagos won 1, Crown FC won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Feb 21, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Inter Lagos and 0.69 for Crown FC. This points to a Inter Lagos double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Inter Lagos
33%
Draws
26%
Crown FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Inter Lagos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Inter Lagos picked up more points recently compared to Crown FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Inter Lagos Clean Sheet 28%
Crown FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Lagos Crown FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.57 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 NNL
Inter Lagos vs Crown FC
1:1
Jan 3, 2026 NNL
Crown FC vs Inter Lagos
1:1
May 31, 2025 NNL
Crown FC vs Inter Lagos
1:0
Jan 29, 2025 NNL
Inter Lagos vs Crown FC
0:0
May 5, 2024 NNL
Crown FC vs Inter Lagos
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Lagos 43 / 100
Crown FC 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Lagos Crown FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Inter Lagos or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Inter Lagos attacking → ← attacking Crown FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Lagos scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Crown FC let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Inter Lagos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Crown FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 36
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Inter Lagos1685326:1329
2Beyond Limits FC1677223:1328
3Heartland FC1683521:1727
4Smart City1683521:1927
5Sunshine Stars1674518:1425
6Edel FC1662814:2020
7Crown FC1644818:1916
8Abia Comets1643916:3115
9Gateway United16331013:2412
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sporting Lagos18113431:1436
2Akwa United18112523:1335
3Ekiti United18100821:1730
4Stormers1882824:2626
5Abakaliki1874719:1725
6Solution1881918:2225
7Godswill Akpabio1866627:2424
8Rovers FC18711015:2122
9Osun United18621016:2420
10First Bank18431115:3115
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1Doma United1482418:1126
2Lobi1472512:1023
3Basira1463517:1421
4Kada Warriors1455411:920
5Sokoto United145369:1118
6ABS1452710:1617
7Mighty Jets1451814:1616
8City FC Abuja1444610:1416
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1Ranchers Bees1262411:920
2Adamawa Utd1260612:1118
3Jigawa Golden Stars1253412:1518
4Yobe Stars1252514:1317
5Kebbi1251611:1116
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7Gombe124358:1115
8Sporting Supreme00000:00