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Inter Miami vs Portland Timbers

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AI Match Summary

Inter Miami play Portland Timbers in the MLS. It looks like a close match. Recently, Inter Miami averaged 2.75 goals scored and 2 conceded. Portland Timbers averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Inter Miami won 2, Portland Timbers won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Inter Miami and 1.94 for Portland Timbers. This points to a Inter Miami double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Inter Miami
6%
Draws
4%
Portland Timbers
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Inter Miami

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Inter Miami has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Portland Timbers.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Inter Miami.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in MLS provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Inter Miami Clean Sheet 10%
Portland Timbers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Miami Portland Timbers
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 20 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 2.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 MLS
Inter Miami vs Portland Timbers
2:0
May 29, 2022 MLS
Inter Miami vs Portland Timbers
2:1
Oct 3, 2021 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Inter Miami
1:0
Aug 17, 2020 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Inter Miami
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Miami Compare

Top Goalscorer Messi L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Berterame G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Portland Timbers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Miami 83 / 100
Portland Timbers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Miami Portland Timbers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Miami scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Portland Timbers let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Inter Miami went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Portland Timbers lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter Miami VS Portland Timbers
2.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
4FC Dallas1574430:2225
5Los Angeles FC1573524:1724
6Seattle Sounders1373317:1124
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1555522:2220
10San Diego FC1545630:2717
11Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
12St. Louis City1444616:2016
13Portland Timbers1442822:2814
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City1432914:3611
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC14103131:1133
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1442822:3114
12Orlando City1542923:4414
13Toronto FC1435622:2914
14Atlanta United1432914:2311
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307