Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inter Miami vs CF Montreal

USA USA

MLS Nu Stadium, Miami, FL
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Fray I.
20' Event
Casemiro
Assist: Segovia T.
35'
Herbers F.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Inter Miami and CF Montreal finished 7-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inter Miami.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Inter Miami
35%
Draws
20%
CF Montreal
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Inter Miami

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Inter Miami carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Inter Miami's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Inter Miami here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Inter Miami Clean Sheet 15%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Miami CF Montreal
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 11 7
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.31 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 MLS
Inter Miami vs CF Montreal
7:1
Jul 25, 2026 MLS
CF Montreal vs Inter Miami
0:1
Jul 5, 2025 MLS
CF Montreal vs Inter Miami
1:4
May 28, 2025 MLS
Inter Miami vs CF Montreal
4:2
May 11, 2024 MLS
CF Montreal vs Inter Miami
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Miami Compare

Top Goalscorer Messi L.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Casemiro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

CF Montreal Compare

Top Goalscorer Herbers F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Miami 75 / 100
CF Montreal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Miami CF Montreal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Miami Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 10:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Inter Miami scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

CF Montreal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Inter Miami stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter Miami VS CF Montreal
2.25 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Miami

(Home)
17 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 0
Cruz Azul
12 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
Nashville SC
10 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 1
Inter Miami
05 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
Atlanta United
29 Aug
Inter Miami
7 : 1
CF Montreal
Page 1 of 6

CF Montreal

(Away)
16 Sept
CF Montreal
2 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Sept
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0
CF Montreal
09 Sept
CF Montreal
1 : 2
Charlotte FC
05 Sept
Philadelphia Union
2 : 0
CF Montreal
03 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 1
CF Montreal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 24 14 4 6 53:23 46
2 Houston Dynamo 25 13 4 8 32:28 43
3 FC Dallas 25 12 7 6 49:42 43
4 San Jose Earthquakes 25 12 5 8 44:36 41
5 St. Louis City 25 11 8 6 42:35 41
6 Los Angeles FC 26 11 7 8 41:27 40
7 Colorado Rapids 25 11 2 12 33:32 35
8 Portland Timbers 25 9 5 11 47:47 32
9 San Diego FC 25 8 6 11 42:42 30
10 Los Angeles Galaxy 26 7 9 10 31:40 30
11 Real Salt Lake 24 8 5 11 37:39 29
12 Minnesota United 25 7 8 10 37:43 29
13 Austin FC 25 7 8 10 32:44 29
14 Seattle Sounders 23 7 7 9 25:30 28
15 Sporting Kansas City 24 5 3 16 26:59 18
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 25 16 6 3 50:21 54
2 Inter Miami 25 12 9 4 61:46 45
3 New England Revolution 25 13 4 8 41:31 43
4 Charlotte FC 25 11 7 7 45:36 40
5 Chicago Fire 24 11 6 7 45:35 39
6 Orlando City 25 10 4 11 44:56 34
7 Philadelphia Union 25 9 6 10 46:39 33
8 New York Red Bulls 26 9 6 11 34:48 33
9 New York City 26 8 8 10 39:34 32
10 FC Cincinnati 24 8 8 8 52:59 32
11 DC United 24 6 11 7 30:37 29
12 Toronto FC 25 6 11 8 38:46 29
13 Columbus Crew 25 6 5 14 35:42 23
14 Atlanta United 25 6 5 14 29:43 23
15 CF Montreal 25 5 6 14 31:51 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)