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Inter Miami vs DC United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Nu Stadium, Miami, FL
Inter Miami Logo

Inter Miami

Sat, Oct 10, 2026
4 - 0
11:30 PM
DC United Logo

DC United

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Suarez L.
Assist: Berterame G.
39' Event
Suarez L.
Assist: Berterame G.
47' Event
Messi L.
Assist: Suarez L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Inter Miami host DC United in the MLS. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Inter Miami at 2.46 goals for, 1.86 against; DC United at 1.38 for, 1.77 against. Past meetings favor Inter Miami slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.75 - 1.19) back Inter Miami to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Inter Miami
35%
Draws
30%
DC United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • DC United haven't matched Inter Miami's recent run of results.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Inter Miami taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Inter Miami here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42.400000000000006%
Inter Miami Clean Sheet 68%
DC United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Miami DC United
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 13 5
Draws 9 12
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.46 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 MLS
DC United vs Inter Miami
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 MLS
Inter Miami vs DC United
3:2
Aug 23, 2025 MLS
DC United vs Inter Miami
1:1
May 18, 2024 MLS
Inter Miami vs DC United
1:0
Mar 16, 2024 MLS
DC United vs Inter Miami
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Miami Compare

Top Goalscorer Suarez L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Messi L.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

DC United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Miami 59 / 100
DC United 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Miami DC United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Miami Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 10:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Miami scored in 100% of their last 28 games.

DC United let in goals in 81% of their last 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Inter Miami remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Inter Miami VS DC United
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Miami

(Home)
27 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1
Inter Miami
20 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
San Diego FC
17 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 0
Cruz Azul
12 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
Nashville SC
10 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 1
Inter Miami
Page 1 of 6

DC United

(Away)
30 Sept
DC United
0 : 1
Paderborn
27 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
3 : 3
DC United
19 Sept
DC United
1 : 2
Charlotte FC
12 Sept
DC United
0 : 0
Atlanta United
09 Sept
DC United
2 : 1
Columbus Crew
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Chicago Fire 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)