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Inter Miami vs San Diego FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Nu Stadium, Miami, FL
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Dreyer A.
Assist: Tverskov J.
23' Event
Messi L.
33'
Murphy I.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Inter Miami and San Diego FC finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Inter Miami
35%
Draws
16%
San Diego FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Inter Miami

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Inter Miami come out ahead of San Diego FC on wins alone.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Inter Miami taking it.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Inter Miami Clean Sheet 14%
San Diego FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Miami San Diego FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.46 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 MLS
Inter Miami vs San Diego FC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Miami Compare

Top Goalscorer Messi L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Suarez L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

San Diego FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Dreyer A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Miami 84 / 100
San Diego FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Miami San Diego FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Miami Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 9:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Inter Miami scored in 100% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

San Diego FC let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Inter Miami has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Inter Miami VS San Diego FC
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Miami

(Home)
27 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1
Inter Miami
20 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
San Diego FC
17 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 0
Cruz Azul
12 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
Nashville SC
10 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 1
Inter Miami
Page 1 of 6

San Diego FC

(Away)
27 Sept
Austin FC
3 : 3
San Diego FC
20 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
San Diego FC
14 Sept
San Diego FC
0 : 5
Philadelphia Union
10 Sept
San Diego FC
2 : 3
San Jose Earthquakes
05 Sept
Orlando City
1 : 0
San Diego FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
3 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
4 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
13 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)