Sport Picks
Inter Miami vs Toronto FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Nu Stadium, Miami, FL 
Match Events
26'
26'
Sub
Lujan G. In: Mura F.
Out: Lujan G.
37'
37'
Laryea R.
53'
53'
Falcon M.
AI Match Summary
The MLS game between Inter Miami and Toronto FC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Toronto FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Inter Miami
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Inter Miami carry the better recent record into this one.
- Inter Miami are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.80000000000001%
Inter Miami Clean Sheet 15%
Toronto FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Inter Miami | Toronto FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.43 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 MLS
Inter Miami vs Toronto FC
1:2
May 9, 2026 MLS
Toronto FC vs Inter Miami
2:4
Sep 27, 2025 MLS
Toronto FC vs Inter Miami
1:1
Apr 6, 2025 MLS
Inter Miami vs Toronto FC
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 MLS
Toronto FC vs Inter Miami
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Inter Miami Compare
Top Goalscorer Messi L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16
Toronto FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Sargent J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Etienne D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Inter Miami 84 / 100
Toronto FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Inter Miami Toronto FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Inter Miami Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Inter Miami scored in 100% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Toronto FC conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Inter Miami remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Inter Miami VS Toronto FC
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Inter Miami
(Home) 27 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1 Inter Miami
20 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2 San Diego FC
17 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 0 Cruz Azul
12 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2 Nashville SC
10 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 1 Inter Miami
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2 San Diego FC
17 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 0 Cruz Azul
12 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2 Nashville SC
05 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2 Atlanta United
29 Aug
Inter Miami
7 : 1 CF Montreal
Page 1 of 4
Toronto FC
(Away) 27 Sept
Nashville SC
2 : 0 Toronto FC
20 Sept
St. Louis City
3 : 1 Toronto FC
12 Sept
Orlando City
3 : 0 Toronto FC
09 Sept
Toronto FC
2 : 1 Nashville SC
05 Sept
Toronto FC
4 : 4 Chicago Fire
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Nashville SC
2 : 0 Toronto FC
20 Sept
St. Louis City
3 : 1 Toronto FC
12 Sept
Orlando City
3 : 0 Toronto FC
22 Aug
Inter Miami
1 : 2 Toronto FC
31 Jul
New York City
1 : 1 Toronto FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60:29 | 50 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48:36 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50:42 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49:39 | 45 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34:32 | 44 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:30 | 41 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 35:35 | 38 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 38:38 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:44 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 48:51 | 32 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:44 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 47:47 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35:47 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 40:49 | 29 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 32:65 | 21 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55:21 | 60 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:36 | 46 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 64:50 | 46 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49:39 | 45 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 47:38 | 43 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 54:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 48:64 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 34:51 | 33 |
| 9 | New York City | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 41:36 | 33 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 55:64 | 33 |
| 11 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 34:42 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 39:43 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 39:51 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:45 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 34:54 | 24 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
