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Inter Nouakchott vs Nouadhibou

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
78' Event

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Inter Nouakchott and Nouadhibou finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nouadhibou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Inter Nouakchott
15%
Draws
65%
Nouadhibou
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nouadhibou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nouadhibou come out ahead of Inter Nouakchott on wins alone.
  • Nouadhibou are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Nouadhibou have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Inter Nouakchott Clean Sheet 10%
Nouadhibou Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Nouakchott Nouadhibou
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 4 20
Draws 8 10
Losses 19 3
Goals Scored 0.9 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.58
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Inter Nouakchott
1:0
Jan 10, 2026 Ligue 1
Inter Nouakchott vs Nouadhibou
0:2
May 23, 2025 Ligue 1
Inter Nouakchott vs Nouadhibou
0:2
Jan 13, 2025 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Inter Nouakchott
2:1
Mar 7, 2024 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Inter Nouakchott
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Nouakchott 10 / 100
Nouadhibou 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Nouakchott Nouadhibou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nouadhibou Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Inter Nouakchott scored in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Nouadhibou let in goals in 39% of their last 33 matches.

Solid form: Inter Nouakchott remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Inter Nouakchott VS Nouadhibou
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Nouakchott

(Home)
23 May
Nouadhibou
1 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
16 May
Inter Nouakchott
3 : 5
Chemal
11 May
Nouakchott Academy
2 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
06 May
Inter Nouakchott
2 : 1
SNIM
09 Apr
Pompiers
3 : 1
Inter Nouakchott
Page 1 of 7

Nouadhibou

(Away)
23 May
Nouadhibou
1 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
17 May
Nouakchott King's
3 : 2
Nouadhibou
10 May
Nouadhibou
4 : 1
Police
04 May
Douane
2 : 2
Nouadhibou
25 Apr
Kaedi
0 : 1
Nouadhibou
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)