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Inter Palmira vs Cartagena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Francisco Rivera Escobar, Palmira
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Correa R.
26'
Alvarez A.
46'
Sub
Gonzalez K. In: Castillo F.
Out: Gonzalez K.

AI Match Summary

Inter Palmira in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Inter Palmira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Inter Palmira
30%
Draws
18%
Cartagena
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Inter Palmira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

18% / Low Confidence
  • Cartagena haven't matched Inter Palmira's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Cartagena's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Inter Palmira Clean Sheet 18%
Cartagena Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Palmira Cartagena
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 12
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Primera B
Inter Palmira vs Cartagena
2:1
Mar 11, 2026 Primera B
Cartagena vs Inter Palmira
2:2
Jul 15, 2025 Primera B
Cartagena vs Inter Palmira
0:0
Jun 14, 2025 Primera B
Cartagena vs Inter Palmira
3:3
May 27, 2025 Primera B
Inter Palmira vs Cartagena
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Palmira Compare

Top Goalscorer Correa R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mejia A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Cartagena Compare

Top Goalscorer Montero F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Palmira 20 / 100
Cartagena 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Palmira Cartagena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cartagena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Inter Palmira scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Cartagena has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Inter Palmira went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter Palmira VS Cartagena
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Palmira

(Home)
04 Oct
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 0
Inter Palmira
28 Sept
Inter Palmira
1 : 0
Leones
22 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
0 : 1
Inter Palmira
12 Sept
Inter Palmira
2 : 1
Cartagena
09 Sept
Inter Palmira
0 : 1
Atletico F.C.
Page 1 of 6

Cartagena

(Away)
08 Oct
Atletico F.C.
2 : 2
Cartagena
04 Oct
Cartagena
2 : 3
Boca Juniors de Cali
29 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1
Cartagena
22 Sept
Cartagena
0 : 0
Envigado
12 Sept
Inter Palmira
2 : 1
Cartagena
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 12 7 3 2 16:7 24
2 Real Cundinamarca 12 7 2 3 19:11 23
3 Tigres Futbol Club 12 6 4 2 14:5 22
4 Boca Juniors de Cali 11 5 3 3 18:14 18
5 Patriotas 11 5 2 4 17:17 17
6 Cartagena 12 4 4 4 21:16 16
7 Quindio 11 4 4 3 9:8 16
8 Atletico F.C. 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
9 Real Santander 12 3 6 3 14:18 15
10 Inter Palmira 11 4 2 5 8:12 14
11 Envigado 11 2 6 3 12:11 12
12 Union Magdalena 11 3 3 5 10:12 12
13 Bogota 11 3 3 5 9:13 12
14 Orsomarso 11 2 4 5 7:11 10
15 Leones 11 2 4 5 8:17 10
16 Barranquilla 11 2 3 6 11:17 9
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)