Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inter Palmira W vs Deportes Tolima W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Inter Palmira W play Deportes Tolima W in the Liga Women 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Inter Palmira W averaged 0.91 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Deportes Tolima W averaged 0.9 goals scored and 2.23 conceded. In past meetings, Inter Palmira W won 0, Deportes Tolima W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 5, 2023 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Inter Palmira W and 1.13 for Deportes Tolima W. This points to a Inter Palmira W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Inter Palmira W
27%
Draws
24%
Deportes Tolima W
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Inter Palmira W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Inter Palmira W picked up more points recently compared to Deportes Tolima W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Inter Palmira W Clean Sheet 21%
Deportes Tolima W Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Palmira W Deportes Tolima W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 0.91 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.23

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2023 Liga Women
Inter Palmira W vs Deportes Tolima W
1:1
Apr 23, 2022 Liga Women
Inter Palmira W vs Deportes Tolima W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Palmira W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Deportes Tolima W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bastidas A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Palmira W 48 / 100
Deportes Tolima W 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Palmira W Deportes Tolima W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Inter Palmira W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Inter Palmira W attacking → ← attacking Deportes Tolima W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Palmira W scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Deportes Tolima W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Inter Palmira W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Deportes Tolima W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 19
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1America de Cali W16132140:841
2Indep. Santa Fe W16132140:841
3Dep. Cali W16121338:1237
4Ind. Medellin W1693422:1530
5Millonarios W1682616:1226
6Deportivo Pereira W1673618:1624
7Junior W1672720:1723
8Orsomarso W1656518:2021
9Llaneros W1663720:2121
10Deportes Tolima W1656519:2221
11Atl. Nacional W1654716:2419
12Huila W1644820:2416
13Inter Palmira W16511015:2516
14Inter Bogotá W16411115:3213
15Bucaramanga W163499:2113
16Real Santander W16241011:4210
17Fortaleza W161699:279