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Inter Playa Del Carmen vs Deportiva Venados - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Primera Premier
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Villatoro M.
59' Event
Rodriguez J.
63' Event
Manuel Caamal Fuentes J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Premier game between Inter Playa Del Carmen and Deportiva Venados finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inter Playa Del Carmen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Inter Playa Del Carmen
30%
Draws
39%
Deportiva Venados
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Deportiva Venados

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportiva Venados come out ahead of Inter Playa Del Carmen on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Inter Playa Del Carmen's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Inter Playa Del Carmen Clean Sheet 14%
Deportiva Venados Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Playa Del Carmen Deportiva Venados
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 12 18
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.28 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Primera Premier
Inter Playa Del Carmen vs Deportiva Venados
3:1
Feb 21, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Deportiva Venados vs Inter Playa Del Carmen
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Inter Playa Del Carmen vs Deportiva Venados
0:0
Apr 12, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Deportiva Venados vs Inter Playa Del Carmen
3:1
Jan 11, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Inter Playa Del Carmen vs Deportiva Venados
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Playa Del Carmen Compare

Top Goalscorer Villatoro M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Manuel Caamal Fuentes J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Deportiva Venados Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Playa Del Carmen 41 / 100
Deportiva Venados 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Playa Del Carmen Deportiva Venados

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Playa Del Carmen scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Deportiva Venados has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Inter Playa Del Carmen remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Inter Playa Del Carmen VS Deportiva Venados
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Playa Del Carmen

(Home)
03 Oct
Inter Playa Del Carmen
3 : 1
Deportiva Venados
27 Sept
Montaneses
3 : 2
Inter Playa Del Carmen
19 Sept
Inter Playa Del Carmen
1 : 1
Chapulineros
12 Sept
Tapachula
2 : 0
Inter Playa Del Carmen
08 Sept
Inter Playa Del Carmen
0 : 4
Pioneros
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Deportiva Venados

(Away)
03 Oct
Inter Playa Del Carmen
3 : 1
Deportiva Venados
26 Sept
Deportiva Venados
2 : 3
Celaya
19 Sept
Racing de Veracruz
3 : 3
Deportiva Venados
12 Sept
Deportiva Venados
2 : 0
Jaguares De Chiapas
30 Aug
Montaneses
1 : 1
Deportiva Venados
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 5 5 0 0 13:4 16
2 Reboceros de La Piedad 6 5 0 1 12:7 14
3 Tigres de Alica 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
4 Zacatepec 6 3 1 2 8:7 11
5 Los Cabos United 7 3 0 4 7:9 9
6 Cordobes FC 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
7 Lobos ULMX 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
8 Tritones Vallarta 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
9 Purepechas 5 0 1 4 1:7 1
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 5 3 2 0 16:6 13
2 Pioneros 5 4 0 1 14:6 13
3 Celaya 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
4 Jaguares De Chiapas 5 2 1 2 5:5 8
5 Deportiva Venados 5 1 2 2 9:9 6
6 Montaneses 6 2 1 3 9:12 6
7 Chapulineros 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
8 Inter Playa Del Carmen 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
9 Tapachula 5 1 0 4 5:14 3
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)