Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inter Santa Maria vs Santa Cruz RS

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Leylon

AI Match Summary

Inter Santa Maria in this Gaucho 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Inter Santa Maria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Inter Santa Maria
44%
Draws
20%
Santa Cruz RS
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Inter Santa Maria lately — more wins on the board than Santa Cruz RS.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Inter Santa Maria Clean Sheet 22%
Santa Cruz RS Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Santa Maria Santa Cruz RS
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 13 13
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 0.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2025 Gaucho 2
Inter Santa Maria vs Santa Cruz RS
1:0
Jun 18, 2023 Gaucho 2
Inter Santa Maria vs Santa Cruz RS
1:2
May 14, 2023 Gaucho 2
Santa Cruz RS vs Inter Santa Maria
2:2
Jun 4, 2022 Gaucho 2
Santa Cruz RS vs Inter Santa Maria
2:2
Apr 21, 2022 Gaucho 2
Inter Santa Maria vs Santa Cruz RS
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Santa Maria Compare

Top Goalscorer Leylon
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Santa Cruz RS Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Santa Maria 37 / 100
Santa Cruz RS 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Santa Maria Santa Cruz RS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Inter Santa Maria scored in 62% of their last 34 outings.

Santa Cruz RS has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Inter Santa Maria remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Inter Santa Maria VS Santa Cruz RS
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Santa Maria

(Home)
07 Mar
Avenida
0 : 0
Inter Santa Maria
28 Feb
Inter Santa Maria
1 : 1
Monsoon
21 Feb
Inter Santa Maria
0 : 1
Guarany de Bage
16 Feb
Guarany de Bage
3 : 2
Inter Santa Maria
09 Feb
Monsoon
1 : 1
Inter Santa Maria
Page 1 of 7

Santa Cruz RS

(Away)
04 Jul
Brasil de Pelotas
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
27 Jun
Santa Cruz RS
1 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
17 Jun
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2
Gramadense
14 Jun
Brasil de Farroupilha
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
08 Jun
Monsoon
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aimore1494116:531
2Inter Santa Maria1485116:729
3Passo Fundo1476120:1227
4Novo Hamburgo1473417:824
5Gramadense1466213:924
6Veranopolis1465317:923
7GE Bage145639:521
8Lajeadense1456313:1421
9Santa Cruz RS1446412:1118
10Brasil de Farroupilha1443715:2015
11GE Gloria142758:1313
12Esportivo Bento Goncalves1432912:2111
13Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol141766:1610
14SC Gaucho1423915:209
15Real SC1403114:233
16Futvida00000:00
Promotion - Gaucho 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2026 (Main)