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Stadium Background

Inter vs Parma

Italy Italy

Serie A 2025/2026 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro), Milan
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Thuram M.
Assist: Zielinski P.
46'
Sub
Esposito F. In: Bonny A.
Out: Esposito F.
64'
Zielinski P.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A 2025/2026 game between Inter and Parma finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inter.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Inter
39%
Draws
31%
Parma
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Inter come out ahead of Parma on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Inter here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Inter Clean Sheet 68%
Parma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Parma
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 2.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie A
Inter vs Parma
2:0
Jan 7, 2026 Serie A
Parma vs Inter
0:2
Apr 5, 2025 Serie A
Parma vs Inter
2:2
Dec 6, 2024 Serie A
Inter vs Parma
3:1
Jan 10, 2023 Coppa Italia
Inter vs Parma
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Compare

Top Goalscorer Thuram M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mkhitaryan H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Parma Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter 41 / 100
Parma 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Parma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick INT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Inter scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Inter stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Parma let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Inter VS Parma
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter

(Home)
01 Aug
Manchester City
1 : 2
Inter
26 Jul
Karlsruher
1 : 2
Inter
23 May
Bologna
3 : 3
Inter
17 May
Inter
1 : 1
Verona
13 May
Lazio
0 : 2
Inter
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Parma

(Away)
02 Aug
Parma
1 : 1
Iraklis FC
30 Jul
Parma
1 : 1
Arezzo
25 Jul
Sassuolo
0 : 1
Parma
25 Jul
Trento
2 : 1
Parma
24 May
Parma
1 : 0
Sassuolo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 38 27 6 5 89:35 87
2 Napoli 38 23 7 8 58:36 76
3 AS Roma 38 23 4 11 59:31 73
4 Como 38 20 11 7 65:29 71
5 AC Milan 38 20 10 8 53:35 70
6 Juventus 38 19 12 7 61:34 69
7 Atalanta 38 15 14 9 51:36 59
8 Bologna 38 16 8 14 49:46 56
9 Lazio 38 14 12 12 41:40 54
10 Udinese 38 14 8 16 45:48 50
11 Sassuolo 38 14 7 17 46:50 49
12 Torino 38 12 9 17 44:63 45
13 Parma 38 11 12 15 28:46 45
14 Cagliari 38 11 10 17 40:53 43
15 Fiorentina 38 9 15 14 41:50 42
16 Genoa 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Lecce 38 10 8 20 28:50 38
18 Cremonese 38 8 10 20 32:57 34
19 Verona 38 3 12 23 25:61 21
20 Pisa 38 2 12 24 26:71 18
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B (Main)