Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Internacional 2 vs Gremio 2

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF 2024 Estádio José Pinheiro Borda, Porto Alegre
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Nathan Fernandes
21' Event
Ricardo Mathias
47' Event
Ricardo Mathias

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Internacional 2 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Internacional 2
15%
Draws
34%
Gremio 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Internacional 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Internacional 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Internacional 2 taking it.
  • Internacional 2 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Internacional 2, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Internacional 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Gremio 2 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Internacional 2 Gremio 2
Matches Played 17 8
Wins 5 3
Draws 2 1
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.41 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.71 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2024 Copa FGF
Internacional 2 vs Gremio 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Internacional 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ricardo Mathias
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Gremio 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nathan Fernandes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.68

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Internacional 2 49 / 100
Gremio 2 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Internacional 2 Gremio 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Internacional 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 8 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Gremio 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Internacional 2 found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (17 games).

Scoring Trends

Internacional 2 VS Gremio 2
1.13 Goals Scored 0.83
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.33
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Internacional 2

(Home)
05 Nov
Aimore
2 : 0
Internacional 2
29 Oct
Internacional 2
7 : 0
Sao Gabriel
25 Oct
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0
Internacional 2
18 Oct
Internacional 2
0 : 3
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
15 Oct
Internacional 2
3 : 2
EC Juventude 2
Page 1 of 4

Gremio 2

(Away)
09 Oct
Gremio 2
3 : 1
Aimore
03 Oct
SC Sao Paulo
0 : 0
Gremio 2
25 Sept
Gremio 2
1 : 3
SC Gaucho
22 Sept
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 0
Gremio 2
18 Sept
Internacional 2
2 : 1
Gremio 2
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Sao Jose (PA) 8 5 3 0 15:6 18
2 Ypiranga FC 8 5 0 3 19:11 15
3 EC Juventude 2 8 4 0 4 10:11 12
4 SC Gaucho 8 3 3 2 11:8 12
5 Passo Fundo 8 3 3 2 11:10 12
6 Internacional 2 8 3 2 3 13:10 11
7 Aimore 8 3 1 4 15:13 10
8 Gremio 2 8 3 1 4 7:8 10
9 SC Sao Paulo 8 0 1 7 4:28 1
Promotion - Copa FGF 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa FGF 2024 (Play Offs)