Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Internacional vs Gremio

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho Estádio José Pinheiro Borda, Porto Alegre
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Ronaldo
6'
Andre Henrique
7'
Borre R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Internacional
15%
Draws
49%
Gremio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gremio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Gremio have won more games recently than Internacional.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Gremio taking it.
  • Gremio arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Internacional Clean Sheet 21%
Gremio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Internacional Gremio
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.27 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Gremio vs Internacional
3:1
Aug 27, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Internacional vs Gremio
0:0
Apr 11, 2026 Serie A Betano
Internacional vs Gremio
0:0
Mar 8, 2026 Gaucho
Internacional vs Gremio
1:1
Mar 1, 2026 Gaucho
Gremio vs Internacional
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Internacional Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Gremio Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Martins
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Internacional 29 / 100
Gremio 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Internacional Gremio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gremio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Internacional's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Gremio conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Gremio registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Internacional VS Gremio
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Internacional

(Home)
20 Sept
Sao Paulo
1 : 0
Internacional
12 Sept
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 2
Internacional
06 Sept
Internacional
2 : 3
Santos
03 Sept
Gremio
3 : 1
Internacional
30 Aug
Bahia
3 : 2
Internacional
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Gremio

(Away)
20 Sept
Gremio
0 : 0
Palmeiras
16 Sept
Botafogo RJ
3 : 2
Gremio
12 Sept
Gremio
1 : 2
Vasco
07 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 0
Gremio
03 Sept
Gremio
3 : 1
Internacional
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Internacional 3
Sao Luiz 1
SER Caxias do Sul 0
Ypiranga FC 2
EC Juventude 3
EC Sao Jose (PA) 2
Gremio 1
Novo Hamburgo 0
Semi-finals
Internacional 7
Ypiranga FC 0
EC Juventude 2
Gremio 3
Final
Internacional 1
Gremio 4