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Stadium Background

Internacional vs Gremio

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho Estádio José Pinheiro Borda, Porto Alegre
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Ronaldo
6'
Andre Henrique
7'
Borre R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Gaucho tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Internacional
44%
Draws
20%
Gremio
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Gremio average 1.88 goals a game right now, well clear of Internacional's 0.43.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Gremio, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Internacional Clean Sheet 13%
Gremio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Internacional Gremio
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 13 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.43 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.43 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.43 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.43 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Serie A Betano
Internacional vs Gremio
0:0
Mar 8, 2026 Gaucho
Internacional vs Gremio
1:1
Mar 1, 2026 Gaucho
Gremio vs Internacional
3:0
Jan 25, 2026 Gaucho
Internacional vs Gremio
4:2
Sep 21, 2025 Serie A Betano
Internacional vs Gremio
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Internacional Compare

Avg xG / game 0.33
Avg xA / game 0.21

Gremio Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Martins
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Internacional 35 / 100
Gremio 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Internacional Gremio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Internacional's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Difficult form: Gremio registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Gremio has conceded goals in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Internacional VS Gremio
0.43 Goals Scored 1.88
1.43 Goals Conceded 2
71% Over 1.5 100%
29% Over 2.5 100%
14% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Internacional

(Home)
29 Jul
Internacional
1 : 1
Flamengo RJ
25 Jul
Athletico-PR
2 : 0
Internacional
23 Jul
Internacional
1 : 2
Cruzeiro
31 May
Bragantino
3 : 1
Internacional
23 May
Vitoria
2 : 0
Internacional
Page 1 of 7

Gremio

(Away)
30 Jul
Gremio
0 : 1
Bolivar
26 Jul
Gremio
1 : 1
Fluminense
23 Jul
Bolivar
3 : 2
Gremio
17 Jul
Mirassol
2 : 1
Gremio
12 Jul
Gremio
3 : 1
Cruzeiro
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Internacional3
Sao Luiz1
SER Caxias do Sul0
Ypiranga FC2
EC Juventude3
EC Sao Jose (PA)2
Gremio1
Novo Hamburgo0
Semi-finals
Internacional7
Ypiranga FC0
EC Juventude2
Gremio3
Final
Internacional1
Gremio4