Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Internacional W vs Sao Paulo W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women SESC Protasio Alves, Porto Alegre
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Darlene
45' Event
Serrana
46'
Sub
Carol Gil In: Clara
Out: Carol Gil

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro Women game between Internacional W and Sao Paulo W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Paulo W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Internacional W
30%
Draws
47%
Sao Paulo W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sao Paulo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sao Paulo W come out ahead of Internacional W on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Brasileiro Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Internacional W Clean Sheet 16%
Sao Paulo W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Internacional W Sao Paulo W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 22
Draws 5 3
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.55 1.6
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Internacional W vs Sao Paulo W
1:2
Jun 18, 2025 Brasileiro Women
Sao Paulo W vs Internacional W
1:0
Jun 23, 2024 Brasileiro Women
Internacional W vs Sao Paulo W
1:2
Dec 3, 2023 Brasil Ladies Cup Women
Internacional W vs Sao Paulo W
1:0
Mar 19, 2023 Brasileiro Women
Sao Paulo W vs Internacional W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Internacional W Compare

Top Goalscorer Darlene
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Sao Paulo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Serrana
1 Goals
Assists Leader Crivelari
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Internacional W 31 / 100
Sao Paulo W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Internacional W Sao Paulo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Internacional W scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Internacional W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sao Paulo W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Internacional W VS Sao Paulo W
1.14 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
57% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Internacional W

(Home)
20 Sept
EC Juventude W
0 : 0
Internacional W
22 Aug
Corinthians W
1 : 3
Internacional W
15 Aug
Internacional W
1 : 2
Ferroviaria W
09 Aug
Vitoria W
2 : 2
Internacional W
02 Aug
Palmeiras W
2 : 1
Internacional W
Page 1 of 6

Sao Paulo W

(Away)
19 Sept
Sao Paulo W
1 : 0
CR Flamengo W
12 Sept
CR Flamengo W
1 : 3
Sao Paulo W
05 Sept
Sao Paulo W
2 : 0
Gremio W
29 Aug
Gremio W
0 : 0
Sao Paulo W
26 Aug
Ferroviaria W
3 : 0
Sao Paulo W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo W 17 13 2 2 31:11 41
2 Corinthians W 17 12 2 3 42:18 38
3 Palmeiras W 17 10 6 1 32:11 36
4 Ferroviaria W 17 8 7 2 23:14 31
5 CR Flamengo W 17 8 6 3 29:20 30
6 Bahia W 17 8 5 4 30:21 29
7 Cruzeiro W 17 7 7 3 30:19 28
8 Gremio W 17 8 3 6 23:16 27
9 Internacional W 17 8 3 6 21:17 27
10 Bragantino W 17 8 2 7 30:26 26
11 Fluminense W 17 7 5 5 23:19 26
12 Santos W 17 6 5 6 22:23 23
13 Atletico-MG W 17 4 4 9 17:25 16
14 Mixto W 17 2 6 9 10:27 12
15 EC Juventude W 17 2 5 10 9:22 11
16 America Mineiro W 17 1 4 12 9:34 7
17 Vitoria W 17 1 4 12 15:45 7
18 Botafogo RJ W 17 1 2 14 10:38 5
Promotion - Brasileiro Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A2 Women 2027 (Main)