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Interporto vs Alvorada

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2005
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2005 game between Interporto and Alvorada finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Interporto
35%
Draws
35%
Alvorada
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alvorada come out ahead of Interporto on wins alone.
  • Model gives Interporto a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2005 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Interporto Clean Sheet 18%
Alvorada Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Interporto Alvorada
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 10 7
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.22 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Interporto vs Alvorada
0:0
Nov 9, 2024 Tocantinense 2
Interporto vs Alvorada
3:0
May 1, 2019 Tocantinense
Alvorada vs Interporto
2:1
Apr 17, 2019 Tocantinense
Interporto vs Alvorada
1:2
Apr 5, 2008 Tocantinense
Interporto vs Alvorada
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Interporto 41 / 100
Alvorada 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Interporto Alvorada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Alvorada conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Interporto has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Interporto found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Interporto VS Alvorada
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Interporto

(Home)
15 Nov
Guarai SC
3 : 1
Interporto
09 Nov
Interporto
1 : 3
Guarai SC
01 Nov
Interporto
6 : 0
Taquarussu
18 Oct
Palmas
1 : 1
Interporto
11 Oct
Interporto
0 : 0
Alvorada
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Alvorada

(Away)
29 Nov
Guarai SC
2 : 2
Alvorada
22 Nov
Alvorada
3 : 4
Guarai SC
15 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Alvorada
08 Nov
Alvorada
2 : 0
Paraiso EC
25 Oct
Uniao de Palmas
1 : 1
Alvorada
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colinas 18 12 1 5 31:17 37
2 Araguaina 18 10 3 5 39:18 33
3 Gurupi 18 9 4 5 41:16 31
4 Palmas 18 9 4 5 31:18 31
5 Interporto 18 8 5 5 29:29 29
6 Tocantinopolis 18 6 6 6 29:24 24
7 CA Tocantinense 18 5 7 6 27:35 22
8 Paraiso EC 18 5 5 8 19:33 20
9 Miracema EC 18 3 5 10 28:44 14
10 Alvorada 18 2 2 14 17:57 8
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2005 (Second stage)