Sport Picks

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Interporto vs Araguacema

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2021
Fri, Dec 24, 2021
0 - 1
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Araguacema in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2021 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Interporto
15%
Draws
37%
Araguacema
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Interporto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Interporto lately — more wins on the board than Araguacema.
  • Interporto are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Interporto have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Interporto, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Interporto Clean Sheet 20%
Araguacema Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Interporto Araguacema
Matches Played 44 32
Wins 18 12
Draws 11 7
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.57 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 2.09 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2022 Tocantinense
Araguacema vs Interporto
1:2
Dec 24, 2021 Tocantinense
Interporto vs Araguacema
0:1
Dec 21, 2021 Tocantinense
Araguacema vs Interporto
1:1
Feb 27, 2021 Tocantinense
Interporto vs Araguacema
4:0
Feb 22, 2020 Tocantinense
Interporto vs Araguacema
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Interporto 40 / 100
Araguacema 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Interporto Araguacema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Interporto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Interporto found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (44 games).

Araguacema let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Interporto remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Interporto VS Araguacema
2.38 Goals Scored 1.4
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.8
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 60%
50% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Interporto

(Home)
19 Sept
Paraiso EC
0 : 8
Interporto
16 Sept
Batalhao
0 : 1
Interporto
12 Sept
Interporto
1 : 0
Taquarussu
15 Nov
Guarai SC
3 : 1
Interporto
09 Nov
Interporto
1 : 3
Guarai SC
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Araguacema

(Away)
23 Nov
Batalhao
4 : 1
Araguacema
16 Nov
Araguacema
3 : 1
Batalhao
09 Nov
Araguacema
1 : 1
SD Sparta
02 Nov
Arsenal (TO)
0 : 2
Araguacema
26 Oct
Araguacema
0 : 3
Bela Vista-TO
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Araguacema 2
Interporto 1
Palmas 2
Tocantinopolis 5
Final
Araguacema 0
Tocantinopolis 2