Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Interporto vs Ceilandia

Brazil Brazil

Serie D 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
da Silva Lima F. R.
(Penalty)
63' Event
Iago Martins
90'
Santos E. C.

AI Match Summary

Ceilandia in this Serie D 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ceilandia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Interporto
35%
Draws
35%
Ceilandia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Ceilandia have won more games recently than Interporto.
  • Model gives Interporto a 30% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Interporto Clean Sheet 18%
Ceilandia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Interporto Ceilandia
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 12
Draws 10 9
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.23 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2023 Serie D
Interporto vs Ceilandia
0:2
May 27, 2023 Serie D
Ceilandia vs Interporto
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Interporto Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Ceilandia Compare

Top Goalscorer Iago Martins
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Interporto 76 / 100
Ceilandia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Interporto Ceilandia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Interporto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceilandia let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Interporto stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Interporto found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Ceilandia
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Interporto

(Home)
15 Nov
Guarai SC
3 : 1
Interporto
09 Nov
Interporto
1 : 3
Guarai SC
01 Nov
Interporto
6 : 0
Taquarussu
18 Oct
Palmas
1 : 1
Interporto
11 Oct
Interporto
0 : 0
Alvorada
Page 1 of 6

Ceilandia

(Away)
28 Jun
Luverdense
1 : 1
Ceilandia
20 Jun
Ceilandia
1 : 2
Luverdense
07 Jun
Mixto
1 : 1
Ceilandia
30 May
Ceilandia
1 : 1
Goiatuba EC
23 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
2 : 3
Ceilandia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional-AM (Manaus) 14 9 3 2 22:7 30
2 Tuna Luso 14 8 4 2 21:10 28
3 Aguia De Maraba 14 6 6 2 18:8 24
4 Princesa do Solimoes 14 4 7 3 21:13 19
5 Sao Raimundo RR 14 5 3 6 24:24 18
6 SC Humaita 14 5 3 6 16:21 18
7 Sao Francisco FC (AC) 14 3 0 11 5:33 9
8 Trem 14 2 2 10 8:19 8
Promotion - Serie D 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviario 14 11 3 0 30:6 36
2 Atletico Cearense 14 6 5 3 22:15 23
3 Maranhao 14 5 6 3 18:11 21
4 Parnahyba 14 4 5 5 14:23 17
5 Caucaia 14 3 7 4 20:20 16
6 Tocantinopolis 14 3 6 5 14:15 15
7 Cordino EC 14 2 5 7 13:26 11
8 Fluminense-PI 14 1 5 8 9:24 8
Promotion - Serie D 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sousa 14 8 2 4 24:15 26
2 Nacional PB 14 7 3 4 17:11 24
3 Potiguar de Mossoró 14 6 5 3 16:11 23
4 Pacajus 14 6 4 4 21:16 22
5 Campinense 14 6 3 5 18:14 21
6 Santa Cruz 14 5 5 4 15:12 20
7 Iguatu 14 5 1 8 16:19 16
8 Globo FC 14 1 1 12 5:34 4
Promotion - Serie D 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Retro 14 7 5 2 19:13 26
2 Bahia de Feira 14 5 6 3 15:9 21
3 ASA 14 6 1 7 14:16 19
4 Falcon 14 5 4 5 16:15 19
5 Sergipe 14 5 4 5 19:19 19
6 Cruzeiro Arapiraca 14 5 3 6 13:22 18
7 Alagoinhas 14 4 3 7 15:18 15
8 Jacuipense 14 3 6 5 20:19 15
Promotion - Serie D 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceilandia 14 7 7 0 28:5 28
2 Anapolis 14 6 7 1 26:6 25
3 Operario VG 14 7 3 4 29:16 24
4 Brasiliense 14 6 6 2 31:11 24
5 Uniao Rondonopolis 14 7 2 5 17:9 23
6 Ipora 14 4 4 6 20:20 16
7 Interporto 14 1 3 10 3:47 6
8 Real Ariquemes 14 1 2 11 4:44 5
Promotion - Serie D 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Athletic Club 14 9 2 3 19:9 29
2 Portuguesa RJ 14 8 5 1 25:12 29
3 Democrata GV 14 7 4 3 18:15 25
4 Vitoria ES 14 6 2 6 23:20 20
5 Santo Andre 14 5 4 5 15:16 19
6 Resende 14 3 5 6 12:18 14
7 Nova Iguacu 14 2 4 8 15:23 10
8 Real Noroeste 14 1 4 9 9:23 7
Promotion - Serie D 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Patrocinense 14 6 6 2 16:8 24
2 Maringa FC 14 6 6 2 13:8 24
3 Internacional de Limeira 14 6 4 4 15:15 22
4 Ferroviaria 14 5 5 4 16:11 20
5 CRAC 14 5 3 6 16:14 18
6 Piracicaba 14 4 4 6 20:21 16
7 FC Cascavel 14 3 7 4 12:17 16
8 Operario MS 14 1 5 8 5:19 8
Promotion - Serie D 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hercilio Luz 14 8 5 1 21:10 29
2 SER Caxias do Sul 14 7 2 5 19:16 23
3 Camboriu 14 6 4 4 19:14 22
4 Brasil de Pelotas 14 5 5 4 15:13 20
5 Sao Joseense 14 5 5 4 15:15 20
6 Concordia 14 5 4 5 15:13 19
7 Aimore 14 1 7 6 8:21 10
8 Novo Hamburgo 14 1 4 9 13:23 7
Promotion - Serie D 2023 (Play Offs)