Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Interporto vs Nova Conquista

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Interporto in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Interporto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Interporto
15%
Draws
20%
Nova Conquista
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Interporto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Interporto lately — more wins on the board than Nova Conquista.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Interporto taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Interporto here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Interporto Clean Sheet 20%
Nova Conquista Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Interporto Nova Conquista
Matches Played 39 23
Wins 14 5
Draws 11 9
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.59 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2022 Tocantinense
Interporto vs Nova Conquista
3:0
Dec 18, 2021 Tocantinense
Interporto vs Nova Conquista
2:1
Feb 9, 2020 Tocantinense
Interporto vs Nova Conquista
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Interporto 85 / 100
Nova Conquista 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Interporto Nova Conquista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Interporto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Interporto scored in 64% of their last 39 games.

Nova Conquista has conceded goals in 74% of their last 23 outings.

Interporto went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Interporto VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Interporto

(Home)
26 Sept
Interporto
2 : 2
Guarai SC
19 Sept
Paraiso EC
0 : 8
Interporto
16 Sept
Batalhao
0 : 1
Interporto
12 Sept
Interporto
1 : 0
Taquarussu
15 Nov
Guarai SC
3 : 1
Interporto
Page 1 of 8

Nova Conquista

(Away)
12 Mar
Araguacema
3 : 1
Nova Conquista
06 Mar
Nova Conquista
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
02 Mar
Nova Conquista
0 : 1
Capital FC
26 Feb
Tocantins
0 : 2
Nova Conquista
19 Feb
Interporto
3 : 0
Nova Conquista
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Interporto 7 6 0 1 16:5 18
2 Tocantinopolis 7 4 1 2 15:5 13
3 Palmas 7 4 1 2 18:10 13
4 Araguacema 7 4 1 2 14:13 13
5 Nova Conquista 7 2 3 2 10:10 9
6 Tocantins 6 1 2 3 8:13 5
7 Capital FC 7 0 3 4 3:10 3
8 Gurupi 6 0 1 5 4:22 1
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2021 (Play Offs)