Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Interporto vs SD Sparta

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Interporto advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Interporto
30%
Draws
28%
SD Sparta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Interporto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SD Sparta come out ahead of Interporto on wins alone.
  • Interporto are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • SD Sparta arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Interporto, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Interporto have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Interporto Clean Sheet 20%
SD Sparta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Interporto SD Sparta
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.48 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2020 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Interporto
1:0
Jun 5, 2018 Tocantinense
Interporto vs SD Sparta
3:1
Apr 25, 2018 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Interporto
1:2
May 13, 2017 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Interporto
0:2
May 6, 2017 Tocantinense
Interporto vs SD Sparta
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Interporto 67 / 100
SD Sparta 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Interporto SD Sparta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Interporto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Interporto scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

SD Sparta has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Interporto went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Interporto VS SD Sparta
2.38 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.83
88% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 17%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Interporto

(Home)
19 Sept
Paraiso EC
0 : 8
Interporto
16 Sept
Batalhao
0 : 1
Interporto
12 Sept
Interporto
1 : 0
Taquarussu
15 Nov
Guarai SC
3 : 1
Interporto
09 Nov
Interporto
1 : 3
Guarai SC
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SD Sparta

(Away)
04 Dec
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 1
SD Sparta
30 Nov
SD Sparta
0 : 1
Bela Vista-TO
23 Nov
SD Sparta
1 : 1
Araguaia (TO)
16 Nov
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 1
SD Sparta
09 Nov
Araguacema
1 : 1
SD Sparta
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Tocantinopolis 2
Interporto 2
Gurupi 1
SD Sparta 5
Final
Interporto 4
SD Sparta 0