Sport Picks

Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2017

SD Sparta

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Interporto play SD Sparta in the Campeonato Tocantinense 2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Interporto averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. SD Sparta averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Interporto won 4, SD Sparta won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 1, 2020 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Interporto and 0.88 for SD Sparta. This points to a SD Sparta double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Interporto

18%

Draws

42%

SD Sparta

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: SD Sparta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Interporto picked up more points recently compared to SD Sparta.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 0.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 49%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Interporto Clean Sheet 25%

SD Sparta Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Interporto	SD Sparta
Matches Played	42	33
Wins	13	14
Draws	13	7
Losses	16	12
Goals Scored	1.31	1.36
Goals Conceded	1.71	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2020 Tocantinense

SD Sparta vs Interporto

Possession: 57% - 49% Cards: 2 - 4

1:0

Jun 5, 2018 Tocantinense

Interporto vs SD Sparta

Possession: 59% - 49% Cards: 0 - 3

3:1

Apr 25, 2018 Tocantinense

SD Sparta vs Interporto

Possession: 59% - 47% Cards: 0 - 1

1:2

May 13, 2017 Tocantinense

SD Sparta vs Interporto

Possession: 40% - 58% Cards: 4 - 2

0:2

May 6, 2017 Tocantinense

Interporto vs SD Sparta

Possession: 58% - 46% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Interporto 41 / 100

SD Sparta 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Interporto SD Sparta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: SD Sparta or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Interporto attacking → ← attacking SD Sparta

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Interporto scored in 57% of their last 42 games.

SD Sparta let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Interporto went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

SD Sparta lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 49

2.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63