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Interporto vs SD Sparta

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2018
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2018 game between Interporto and SD Sparta finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Interporto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Interporto
22%
Draws
18%
SD Sparta
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Interporto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SD Sparta come out ahead of Interporto on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Interporto's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Interporto have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Interporto Clean Sheet 20%
SD Sparta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Interporto SD Sparta
Matches Played 41 33
Wins 13 14
Draws 13 7
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 2.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2020 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Interporto
1:0
Jun 5, 2018 Tocantinense
Interporto vs SD Sparta
3:1
Apr 25, 2018 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Interporto
1:2
May 13, 2017 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Interporto
0:2
May 6, 2017 Tocantinense
Interporto vs SD Sparta
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Interporto 58 / 100
SD Sparta 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Interporto SD Sparta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick INT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SD Sparta conceded in 64% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Interporto has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Interporto scored in 59% of their last 41 games.

Scoring Trends

Interporto VS SD Sparta
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Interporto1257017:722
2Tocantinopolis1263319:1421
3Palmas1255218:1120
4Gurupi1254323:1019
5SD Sparta1243518:1715
6Araguaina1236313:1315
7Paraiso EC1200120:360