Sport Picks
Inverness vs Aberdeen B
Scotland
Challenge Cup 2025/2026 Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, Inverness 
Match Events
9'
9'
Stephen T.
Assist: Duncan R.
12'
12'
Zimba C.
Assist: Alonge J.
77'
77'
Zimba C.
Assist: Longstaff L.
AI Match Summary
Inverness in this Challenge Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aberdeen B
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Inverness have won more games recently than Aberdeen B.
- 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Inverness have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Inverness, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Inverness Clean Sheet 20%
Aberdeen B Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Inverness | Aberdeen B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 26 |
| Wins | 15 | 7 |
| Draws | 10 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 1.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 2.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 26, 2025 Challenge Cup
Inverness vs Aberdeen B
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Inverness Compare
Top Goalscorer Zimba C.
3 Goals Assists Leader McKay B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Aberdeen B Compare
Top Goalscorer Stephen T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Inverness 36 / 100
Aberdeen B 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Inverness Aberdeen B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aberdeen B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Inverness's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Aberdeen B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 26 matches.
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Inverness stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Inverness VS Aberdeen B
1.13 Goals Scored 1.43
1 Goals Conceded 1.57
50% Over 1.5 86%
25% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 29%
Recent Form & Match History
Inverness
(Home) 19 Sept
Livingston
2 : 2 Inverness
12 Sept
Ayr
1 : 3 Inverness
05 Sept
Inverness
0 : 2 Raith
29 Aug
Stenhousemuir
3 : 1 Inverness
21 Aug
Inverness
1 : 1 Partick
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Inverness
0 : 2 Raith
21 Aug
Inverness
1 : 1 Partick
01 Aug
Inverness
0 : 0 Dunfermline
21 Jul
Inverness
1 : 0 St Johnstone
11 Jul
Inverness
2 : 1 East Fife
Page 1 of 3
Aberdeen B
(Away) 22 Sept
Banks O' Dee
2 : 1 Aberdeen B
08 Sept
Ross County
3 : 4 Aberdeen B
25 Aug
Fraserburgh
1 : 1 Aberdeen B
11 Aug
Forfar Athletic
0 : 3 Aberdeen B
14 Jul
Keith
2 : 0 Aberdeen B
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Banks O' Dee
2 : 1 Aberdeen B
08 Sept
Ross County
3 : 4 Aberdeen B
25 Aug
Fraserburgh
1 : 1 Aberdeen B
11 Aug
Forfar Athletic
0 : 3 Aberdeen B
14 Jul
Keith
2 : 0 Aberdeen B
Page 1 of 5
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inverness | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 26:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18:2 | 18 |
| 3 | Montrose | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18:9 | 16 |
| 4 | East Fife | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 13 |
| 5 | Stranraer | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 6 | East Kilbride | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Forfar Athletic | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 8 | Edinburgh City | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 9 | Spartans | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 11 |
| 10 | Elgin City | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:9 | 11 |
| 11 | Dumbarton | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 12 | Annan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:10 | 10 |
| 13 | Alloa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:14 | 10 |
| 14 | Kelty Hearts | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 15 | Clyde | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Queen of the South | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:10 | 10 |
| 17 | Hamilton | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 9 |
| 18 | Stirling | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 9 |
| 19 | Cove Rangers | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 20 | Peterhead | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 21 | Celtic B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:15 | 6 |
| 22 | Hearts B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:14 | 6 |
| 23 | Hibernian B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11:14 | 5 |
| 24 | St. Mirren B | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | 4 |
| 25 | Dundee Utd B | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:18 | 3 |
| 26 | Aberdeen B | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9:20 | 1 |
| 27 | Motherwell B | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:17 | 1 |
| 28 | Rangers B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6:16 | 0 |
| 29 | Kilmarnock B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3:19 | 0 |
| 30 | Dundee FC B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:21 | 0 |
Promotion - Challenge Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
