Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inverness vs Hamilton

Scotland Scotland

League One 2025/2026 Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, Inverness
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Devine D.
Assist: Allan P.
26' Event
McKay B.
Assist: Robertson M.
45'
Sub
Devine D. In: MacIntyre O.
Out: Devine D.

AI Match Summary

Inverness in this League One 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Inverness.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Inverness
40%
Draws
29%
Hamilton
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Inverness lately — more wins on the board than Hamilton.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Inverness Clean Sheet 14%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inverness Hamilton
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 18 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 1.88 2.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 League One
Inverness vs Hamilton
2:1
Feb 14, 2026 League One
Hamilton vs Inverness
0:1
Dec 13, 2025 League One
Inverness vs Hamilton
4:0
Oct 4, 2025 League One
Hamilton vs Inverness
3:1
May 18, 2024 Championship
Inverness vs Hamilton
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inverness Compare

Top Goalscorer Devine D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McKay B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Hamilton Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Hara K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inverness 31 / 100
Hamilton 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inverness Hamilton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inverness found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Hamilton conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Inverness has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Inverness VS Hamilton
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Inverness

(Home)
21 Jul
Inverness
1 : 0
St Johnstone
18 Jul
Linlithgow Rose
0 : 2
Inverness
11 Jul
Inverness
2 : 1
East Fife
07 Jul
Cove Rangers
1 : 4
Inverness
04 Jul
Inverness
0 : 4
Ross County
Page 1 of 6

Hamilton

(Away)
21 Jul
Kilmarnock
1 : 0
Hamilton
18 Jul
Hamilton
2 : 1
Raith
11 Jul
Peterhead
0 : 1
Hamilton
04 Jul
Haverfordwest
0 : 4
Hamilton
30 Jun
Linlithgow Rose
2 : 2
Hamilton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inverness362111460:2469
2Stenhousemuir361813550:2767
3Queen of the South3614121058:4754
4Alloa361581350:3853
5Peterhead361271748:6443
6Montrose361191648:6742
7Cove Rangers369111641:4438
8East Fife36991834:6136
9Hamilton361671354:4234
10Kelty Hearts366111933:6229
Promotion - Championship (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2025/2026 (Main)