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Invincible Eleven vs Paynesville

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Dan Weah H.
49' Event
54' Event

AI Match Summary

The LFA First Division 2024/2025 game between Invincible Eleven and Paynesville finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Invincible Eleven.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Invincible Eleven
30%
Draws
39%
Paynesville
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paynesville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Invincible Eleven haven't matched Paynesville's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Paynesville's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Invincible Eleven Clean Sheet 14%
Paynesville Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Invincible Eleven Paynesville
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 12
Draws 10 10
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.2 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2025 LFA First Division
Invincible Eleven vs Paynesville
2:1
Oct 24, 2024 LFA First Division
Paynesville vs Invincible Eleven
2:0
Feb 16, 2024 LFA First Division
Paynesville vs Invincible Eleven
3:3
Oct 29, 2023 LFA First Division
Invincible Eleven vs Paynesville
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Invincible Eleven Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Paynesville Compare

Top Goalscorer Dan Weah H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Invincible Eleven 23 / 100
Paynesville 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Invincible Eleven Paynesville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paynesville Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Paynesville conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Invincible Eleven scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Invincible Eleven went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Paynesville
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Invincible Eleven

(Home)
20 Apr
Global Pharma
1 : 2
Invincible Eleven
17 Apr
Invincible Eleven
0 : 1
Freeport
10 Apr
FC Fassell
4 : 2
Invincible Eleven
06 Apr
Liberia Registry
1 : 1
Invincible Eleven
03 Apr
Invincible Eleven
1 : 6
Black Man Warrior
Page 1 of 6

Paynesville

(Away)
23 May
Freeport
3 : 3
Paynesville
13 May
Paynesville
0 : 3
LPRC Oiler
09 May
Paynesville
0 : 3
FC Fassell
29 Apr
Paynesville
4 : 2
Wologizi
12 Apr
Liberia Registry
1 : 1
Paynesville
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Fassell 26 17 5 4 57:21 56
2 Heaven Eleven 26 13 6 7 47:26 45
3 Watanga 26 10 10 6 33:24 40
4 Discoveries 26 11 6 9 47:38 39
5 BEA Mountain 26 10 7 9 50:45 37
6 Global Pharma 26 11 3 12 40:47 36
7 LPRC Oiler 26 9 8 9 31:30 35
8 Paynesville 26 10 5 11 33:40 35
9 Black Man Warrior 26 8 9 9 36:38 33
10 Liberia Registry 26 9 5 12 42:44 32
11 Freeport 26 8 7 11 37:51 31
12 Mighty Barrolle 26 8 5 13 38:65 29
13 Shaita 26 6 9 11 40:47 27
14 Invincible Eleven 26 5 9 12 29:44 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)