Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ipora vs Morrinhos

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2 2025 Estádio Municipal Francisco José Ferreira, Iporá
Ipora Logo

Ipora

2 - 1
FT
Morrinhos Logo

Morrinhos

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Rafael Sayao
(Penalty)
54'
Alex Trindade
58' Event
Erick Bahia
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ipora in this Goiano 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ipora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Ipora
35%
Draws
52%
Morrinhos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Morrinhos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Ipora have won more games recently than Morrinhos.
  • Morrinhos are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Goiano 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Ipora Clean Sheet 17%
Morrinhos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ipora Morrinhos
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 7 5
Draws 6 9
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 1.37
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2025 Goiano 2
Morrinhos vs Ipora
1:0
Jun 1, 2025 Goiano 2
Ipora vs Morrinhos
2:1
Jan 31, 2024 Goiano
Ipora vs Morrinhos
1:0
Jan 12, 2023 Goiano
Ipora vs Morrinhos
3:0
Jul 21, 2013 Goiano 2
Ipora vs Morrinhos
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ipora Compare

Top Goalscorer Aleffe R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.49

Morrinhos Compare

Top Goalscorer Erick Bahia
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ipora 15 / 100
Morrinhos 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ipora Morrinhos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ipora scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Morrinhos has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Ipora went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ipora VS Morrinhos
0.71 Goals Scored 0.88
1.86 Goals Conceded 1.25
71% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ipora

(Home)
30 Jul
Ipora
2 : 2
Rio Verde
26 Jul
Gremio Anapolis
2 : 1
Ipora
20 Jul
Morrinhos
1 : 0
Ipora
13 Jul
Ipora
0 : 0
Anapolina
09 Jul
Trindade
4 : 0
Ipora
Page 1 of 7

Morrinhos

(Away)
08 Aug
Sao Luis
3 : 3
Morrinhos
02 Aug
Morrinhos
2 : 0
Mineiros
29 Jul
Morrinhos
1 : 2
Bom Jesus
25 Jul
Gremio Anapolis
0 : 1
Morrinhos
30 Jul
Morrinhos
2 : 2
Gremio Anapolis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Anapolina 14 7 7 0 20:7 28
2 Centro Oeste 14 7 4 3 18:10 25
3 Rio Verde 14 5 7 2 15:12 22
4 Trindade 14 6 3 5 22:17 21
5 Tupy FC 14 3 7 4 17:17 16
6 Gremio Anapolis 14 3 6 5 13:17 15
7 Morrinhos 14 2 6 6 10:16 12
8 Ipora 14 1 4 9 13:32 7
Promotion - Goiano (Main)
Relegation - Goiano 3 (Main)