Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ipswich vs Birmingham

England England

Championship 2025/2026 Portman Road, Ipswich
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Vicente C.
38'
Gray D.
39'
Sub
Matusiwa A. In: Mehmeti A.
Out: Matusiwa A.

AI Match Summary

The Championship 2025/2026 game between Ipswich and Birmingham finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ipswich.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ipswich
33%
Draws
40%
Birmingham
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Birmingham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Ipswich have managed 1.25 goals a game lately — Birmingham are scoring more at 1.88.
  • Model gives Birmingham a 40% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ipswich Clean Sheet 16%
Birmingham Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ipswich Birmingham
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Championship
Ipswich vs Birmingham
2:1
Aug 8, 2025 Championship
Birmingham vs Ipswich
1:1
Feb 24, 2024 Championship
Ipswich vs Birmingham
3:1
Nov 4, 2023 Championship
Birmingham vs Ipswich
2:2
Apr 13, 2019 Championship
Ipswich vs Birmingham
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ipswich Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnson B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McAteer K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Birmingham Compare

Top Goalscorer Vicente C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ipswich 28 / 100
Birmingham 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ipswich Birmingham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BIR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ipswich's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Birmingham conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Ipswich went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ipswich VS Birmingham
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ipswich

(Home)
29 Jul
Ipswich
1 : 2
Osasuna
02 May
Ipswich
3 : 0
QPR
28 Apr
Southampton
2 : 2
Ipswich
25 Apr
West Brom
0 : 0
Ipswich
22 Apr
Charlton
1 : 2
Ipswich
Page 1 of 6

Birmingham

(Away)
25 Jul
Crewe
1 : 2
Birmingham
22 Jul
Burton
0 : 1
Birmingham
15 Jul
Solihull Moors
0 : 3
Birmingham
10 Jul
Birmingham
3 : 1
Huddersfield
02 May
Portsmouth
1 : 1
Birmingham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coventry462811797:4595
2Ipswich462315880:4784
3Millwall4624111164:4983
4Southampton4622141082:5680
5Middlesbrough4622141072:4780
6Hull City4621101570:6673
7Wrexham4619141369:6571
8Derby462091767:5969
9Norwich461981963:5665
10Birmingham4617131657:5664
11Swansea4618101857:5964
12Bristol City4617111859:5962
13Sheffield Utd461862266:6660
14Preston4615151655:6260
15QPR4616102061:7358
16Watford4614151753:6557
17Stoke City4615102151:5655
18Portsmouth4614131949:6455
19Charlton4613141944:5853
20Blackburn4613132042:5652
21West Brom4613141948:5851
22Oxford Utd4611142145:5947
23Leicester4612161858:6846
24Sheffield Wed462123229:890
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)