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Ipswich vs Holland Park Hawks

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Briggs Rd Sporting Complex, Ipswich
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Butler C.
10' Event
McDonnell B.
29' Event
Cossgrove Z.

AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League game between Ipswich and Holland Park Hawks finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ipswich
20%
Draws
51%
Holland Park Hawks
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Holland Park Hawks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Holland Park Hawks carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ipswich Clean Sheet 10%
Holland Park Hawks Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ipswich Holland Park Hawks
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.37 2
Goals Conceded 1.37 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Ipswich vs Holland Park Hawks
3:3
Mar 28, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Holland Park Hawks vs Ipswich
1:3
Jul 12, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Holland Park Hawks vs Ipswich
1:1
Jun 28, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Ipswich vs Holland Park Hawks
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ipswich Compare

Top Goalscorer Butler C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ozzi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Holland Park Hawks Compare

Top Goalscorer McDonnell B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cossgrove Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ipswich 29 / 100
Holland Park Hawks 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ipswich Holland Park Hawks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ipswich Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holland Park Hawks let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Ipswich found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Ipswich stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ipswich VS Holland Park Hawks
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ipswich

(Home)
30 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1 : 0
Ipswich
15 Aug
Broadbeach Utd.
1 : 0
Ipswich
09 Aug
Ipswich
3 : 0
Capalaba FC
01 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0 : 0
Ipswich
22 Jul
Ipswich
0 : 5
Brisbane Roar
Page 1 of 6

Holland Park Hawks

(Away)
15 Aug
Holland Park Hawks
3 : 2
Brisbane Strikers
09 Aug
Caboolture
7 : 2
Holland Park Hawks
01 Aug
Holland Park Hawks
6 : 3
Robina City
19 Jul
Capalaba FC
3 : 0
Holland Park Hawks
10 Jul
Holland Park Hawks
0 : 0
North Star
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane Strikers 22 17 3 2 52:18 54
2 Broadbeach Utd. 22 16 4 2 51:20 52
3 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 22 10 7 5 46:28 37
4 Ipswich 22 10 5 7 35:30 35
5 Robina City 22 9 5 8 36:29 32
6 Caboolture 22 9 4 9 45:38 31
7 Redlands 22 8 6 8 40:38 30
8 Holland Park Hawks 22 9 3 10 40:48 30
9 Logan Lightning 22 8 3 11 39:41 27
10 North Star 22 6 3 13 22:41 21
11 St. George Willawong 22 4 1 17 13:52 13
12 Capalaba FC 22 3 2 17 21:57 11
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)