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Iraklis Thermaikou vs Doxa Dramas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Iraklis Thermaikou and Doxa Dramas finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Iraklis Thermaikou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Iraklis Thermaikou
20%
Draws
28%
Doxa Dramas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Iraklis Thermaikou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Doxa Dramas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Iraklis Thermaikou a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Iraklis Thermaikou have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Iraklis Thermaikou Clean Sheet 20%
Doxa Dramas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iraklis Thermaikou Doxa Dramas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 17
Draws 10 4
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.86
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Doxa Dramas vs Iraklis Thermaikou
0:2
Feb 21, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Iraklis Thermaikou vs Doxa Dramas
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Doxa Dramas vs Iraklis Thermaikou
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraklis Thermaikou 85 / 100
Doxa Dramas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iraklis Thermaikou Doxa Dramas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iraklis Thermaikou Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iraklis Thermaikou found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Doxa Dramas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Iraklis Thermaikou remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Scoring Trends

Iraklis Thermaikou VS Doxa Dramas
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Iraklis Thermaikou

(Home)
03 Oct
Iraklis Thermaikou
2 : 0
Panedessaikos
27 Sept
Agiou Nikolaou
1 : 1
Iraklis Thermaikou
08 Apr
Iraklis Thermaikou
0 : 0
Xanthi
05 Apr
Doxa Dramas
0 : 2
Iraklis Thermaikou
01 Apr
Iraklis Thermaikou
2 : 1
Poseidonas Michanionas
Page 1 of 6

Doxa Dramas

(Away)
30 Aug
Doxa Dramas
1 : 2
Xanthi
08 Apr
Poseidonas Michanionas
2 : 3
Doxa Dramas
05 Apr
Doxa Dramas
0 : 2
Iraklis Thermaikou
01 Apr
Panthrakikos
2 : 0
Doxa Dramas
28 Mar
Xanthi
0 : 1
Doxa Dramas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panthrakikos 22 16 3 3 52:16 51
2 Xanthi 22 12 8 2 48:17 44
3 Doxa Dramas 22 13 4 5 41:25 43
4 Iraklis Thermaikou 22 10 8 4 31:18 38
5 Poseidonas Michanionas 22 8 10 4 28:22 34
6 Aetos Ofryniou 22 10 3 9 37:37 33
7 PAOK Kristonis 22 7 8 7 24:28 29
8 Krya Vrysi 22 6 8 8 29:30 26
9 Thermaikos FC 22 6 4 12 19:32 22
10 Kilkisiakos 22 5 6 11 26:38 21
11 PAOK Dytikou 22 3 7 12 21:42 16
12 Orestis Orestiadas 22 1 1 20 12:63 4
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2025/2026 (Losers stage)