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Iraklis Yerolakkou vs Ayia Napa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cyprus Cyprus

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Pericleus P.
Own Goal
29' Event
Milinceanu N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Iraklis Yerolakkou
30%
Draws
41%
Ayia Napa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ayia Napa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ayia Napa lately — more wins on the board than Iraklis Yerolakkou.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Iraklis Yerolakkou Clean Sheet 68%
Ayia Napa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iraklis Yerolakkou Ayia Napa
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 9 12
Draws 13 7
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Division 2
Iraklis Yerolakkou vs Ayia Napa
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Division 2
Iraklis Yerolakkou vs Ayia Napa
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iraklis Yerolakkou Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Ayia Napa Compare

Top Goalscorer Milinceanu N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraklis Yerolakkou 41 / 100
Ayia Napa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iraklis Yerolakkou Ayia Napa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iraklis Yerolakkou Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Iraklis Yerolakkou's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ayia Napa conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.

Iraklis Yerolakkou went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iraklis Yerolakkou VS Ayia Napa
1.38 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Iraklis Yerolakkou

(Home)
10 Oct
ASIL Lysi
2 : 0
Iraklis Yerolakkou
18 Sept
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1 : 1
Ayia Napa
12 Sept
Halkanoras
0 : 2
Iraklis Yerolakkou
25 Apr
Halkanoras
0 : 0
Iraklis Yerolakkou
21 Apr
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0 : 2
Apea Akrotiriou
Page 1 of 6

Ayia Napa

(Away)
10 Oct
Ayia Napa
1 : 2
Paralimni
18 Sept
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1 : 1
Ayia Napa
12 Sept
Ayia Napa
1 : 3
ASIL Lysi
25 Apr
Doxa
0 : 3
Ayia Napa
19 Apr
Ayia Napa
6 : 3
PAEEK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Achnas 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 ASIL Lysi 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Paralimni 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
4 Doxa 3 2 1 0 9:7 7
5 PAEEK 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
6 Ermis 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
7 Apea Akrotiriou 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
8 Kitiou 3 1 1 1 4:2 4
9 Digenis Akritas 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
10 Iraklis Yerolakkou 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
11 Polemidion 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
12 Ayia Napa 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
13 Halkanoras 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
14 Akritas Chloraka 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
15 M.E.A.P. Nisou 3 0 1 2 1:9 1
16 Anagennisi Derynia 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - Division 2 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Division 2 (Relegation Group)