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Iran U17 vs Lebanon U17 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U17 2026
Iran U17 Logo

Iran U17

1 - 1
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Lebanon U17 Logo

Lebanon U17

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Iran U17
35%
Draws
27%
Lebanon U17
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Iran U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Iran U17 come out ahead of Lebanon U17 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Iran U17 a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Iran U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Iran U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Lebanon U17 Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iran U17 Lebanon U17
Matches Played 30 9
Wins 13 1
Draws 3 5
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 1.97 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 26, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U17
Iran U17 vs Lebanon U17
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iran U17 58 / 100
Lebanon U17 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iran U17 Lebanon U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iran U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iran U17's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Lebanon U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 9 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Iran U17 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iran U17 VS Lebanon U17
1.13 Goals Scored 0.8
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.4
75% Over 1.5 60%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Iran U17

(Home)
30 Nov
Iran U17
1 : 2
India U17
28 Nov
Palestine U17
1 : 3
Iran U17
26 Nov
Iran U17
1 : 1
Lebanon U17
24 Nov
Chinese Taipei U17
0 : 5
Iran U17
30 May
Iran U17
3 : 1
Afghanistan U17
Page 1 of 6

Lebanon U17

(Away)
28 Nov
India U17
0 : 2
Lebanon U17
26 Nov
Iran U17
1 : 1
Lebanon U17
24 Nov
Lebanon U17
1 : 1
Palestine U17
22 Nov
Lebanon U17
0 : 0
Chinese Taipei U17
09 Nov
Lebanon U17
2 : 2
Syria U17
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U17 5 5 0 0 42:0 15
2 Bangladesh U17 5 4 0 1 20:5 12
3 Bahrain U17 5 3 0 2 16:7 9
4 Timor-Leste U17 5 2 0 3 4:23 6
5 Sri Lanka U17 5 1 0 4 6:17 3
6 Brunei U17 5 0 0 5 0:36 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen U17 5 5 0 0 24:3 15
2 Laos U17 5 3 0 2 19:9 9
3 Pakistan U17 5 3 0 2 19:9 9
4 Kyrgyzstan U17 5 3 0 2 16:7 9
5 Cambodia U17 5 1 0 4 7:15 3
6 Guam U17 5 0 0 5 1:43 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U17 5 5 0 0 30:0 15
2 Malaysia U17 5 4 0 1 21:5 12
3 Hong Kong U17 5 2 1 2 7:4 7
4 Singapore U17 5 1 2 2 5:11 5
5 Macau U17 5 1 1 3 3:12 4
6 Northern Mariana Islands U17 5 0 0 5 1:35 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 India U17 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
2 Iran U17 4 2 1 1 10:4 7
3 Lebanon U17 4 1 3 0 4:2 6
4 Palestine U17 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
5 Chinese Taipei U17 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U17 4 3 1 0 13:3 10
2 Iraq U17 4 2 2 0 9:7 8
3 Jordan U17 4 2 1 1 13:4 7
4 Bhutan U17 4 0 1 3 0:9 1
5 Philippines U17 4 0 1 3 3:15 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U17 4 3 0 1 16:4 9
2 Turkmenistan U17 4 3 0 1 15:5 9
3 Kuwait U17 4 3 0 1 11:3 9
4 Mongolia U17 4 1 0 3 3:15 3
5 Maldives U17 4 0 0 4 1:19 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Myanmar U17 4 3 1 0 11:3 10
2 Oman U17 4 3 0 1 12:3 9
3 Syria U17 4 2 1 1 10:8 7
4 Afghanistan U17 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
5 Nepal U17 4 0 0 4 2:15 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)