Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iran U20 vs Iraq U20

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 JAR Stadium, Tashkent
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Enayatzadeh A. In: Bordbar Kolviyer M. R.
Out: Enayatzadeh A.
46'
Sub
Pilali A. In: Eslamtalab A.
Out: Pilali A.
55'
Qasim A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Iraq U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Iran U20
20%
Draws
40%
Iraq U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Iran U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Iran U20's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Iran U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Iraq U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Iran U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Iraq U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iran U20 Iraq U20
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 16
Draws 3 6
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 2.1 1.64
Goals Conceded 0.73 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Friendly International
Iran U20 vs Iraq U20
0:0
Mar 11, 2023 AFC Asian Cup U20
Iran U20 vs Iraq U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iran U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Iraq U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jasim A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iran U20 51 / 100
Iraq U20 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iran U20 Iraq U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iran U20's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Iran U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Iraq U20 conceded in 46% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Iran U20 VS Iraq U20
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Iran U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Iran U20
3 : 1
Vietnam U20
03 Sept
North Korea U20
2 : 1
Iran U20
31 Aug
Iran U20
2 : 1
Palestine U20
25 Aug
Iran U20
0 : 0
Iraq U20
17 Jun
Kyrgyzstan U20
0 : 2
Iran U20
Page 1 of 6

Iraq U20

(Away)
06 Sept
Iraq U20
3 : 1
Thailand U20
03 Sept
United Arab Emirates U20
1 : 2
Iraq U20
31 Aug
Iraq U20
1 : 2
Turkmenistan U20
25 Aug
Iran U20
0 : 0
Iraq U20
22 Aug
Indonesia U20
1 : 2
Iraq U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Uzbekistan U20 2
Australia U20 1
South Korea U20 3
China U20 1
Iran U20 0
Iraq U20 1
Japan U20 2
Jordan U20 0
Semi-finals
Uzbekistan U20 1
South Korea U20 0
Iraq U20 3
Japan U20 2
Final
Uzbekistan U20 1
Iraq U20 0