Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iran U23 vs Mongolia U23

Asia Asia

Asian Games 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Mamizadeh M.
25'
Khurelbaataryn T.
27'
Sub
Fallah S. In: Jafari A.
Out: Fallah S.

AI Match Summary

Iran U23 in this Asian Games 2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iran U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Iran U23
20%
Draws
0%
Mongolia U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Iran U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Iran U23 lately — more wins on the board than Mongolia U23.
  • Win probability leans Iran U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Iran U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Mongolia U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iran U23 Mongolia U23
Matches Played 32 23
Wins 14 1
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.53 0.65
Goals Conceded 0.97 3
Expected Goals (xG) 3.58 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2023 Asian Games
Iran U23 vs Mongolia U23
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iran U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mamizadeh M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Omri M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.75
Avg xA / game 1.79

Mongolia U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iran U23 95 / 100
Mongolia U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iran U23 Mongolia U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iran U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mongolia U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 96% of 23 matches.

Mongolia U23's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Iran U23 scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Iran U23 VS Mongolia U23
2.75 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 4.4
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Iran U23

(Home)
23 Sept
Iran U23
1 : 4
North Korea U23
20 Sept
Iran U23
0 : 0
China U23
16 Sept
United Arab Emirates U23
1 : 3
Iran U23
13 Jan
Iran U23
0 : 1
Lebanon U23
10 Jan
Iran U23
0 : 0
Uzbekistan U23
Page 1 of 7

Mongolia U23

(Away)
09 Sept
Lebanon U23
3 : 0
Mongolia U23
06 Sept
Mongolia U23
0 : 7
Malaysia U23
03 Sept
Thailand U23
6 : 0
Mongolia U23
24 Sept
Iran U23
3 : 0
Mongolia U23
21 Sept
Mongolia U23
0 : 3
Saudi Arabia U23
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U23 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 India U23 3 1 1 1 3:6 4
3 Myanmar U23 3 1 1 1 2:5 4
4 Bangladesh U23 3 0 1 2 0:2 1
Promotion - Asian Games 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U23 3 2 1 0 7:0 7
2 Saudi Arabia U23 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
3 Vietnam U23 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
4 Mongolia U23 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
Promotion - Asian Games 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
2 Hong Kong U23 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
3 Afghanistan U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Syria U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Games 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Palestine U23 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
3 Qatar U23 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
Promotion - Asian Games 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 3 3 0 0 16:0 9
2 Bahrain U23 3 0 2 1 2:5 2
3 Thailand U23 3 0 2 1 2:6 2
4 Kuwait U23 3 0 2 1 2:11 2
Promotion - Asian Games 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U23 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Kyrgyzstan U23 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
3 Indonesia U23 3 1 0 2 2:2 3
4 Chinese Taipei U23 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
Promotion - Asian Games 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams