Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iran U23 vs Thailand U23

Asia Asia

Asian Games 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Motahari A.
45'
Jaiphet A.
45'
Hamedifar O.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Iran U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Iran U23
20%
Draws
44%
Thailand U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Thailand U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Iran U23 come out ahead of Thailand U23 on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Iran U23 taking it.
  • Iran U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Iran U23, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Iran U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Thailand U23 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iran U23 Thailand U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.47 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2023 Asian Games
Iran U23 vs Thailand U23
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iran U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Motahari A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Thailand U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iran U23 42 / 100
Thailand U23 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iran U23 Thailand U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iran U23's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Thailand U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Iran U23 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Iran U23 VS Thailand U23
0.71 Goals Scored 1.13
0.86 Goals Conceded 1.5
29% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Iran U23

(Home)
23 Sept
Iran U23
1 : 4
North Korea U23
20 Sept
Iran U23
0 : 0
China U23
16 Sept
United Arab Emirates U23
1 : 3
Iran U23
13 Jan
Iran U23
0 : 1
Lebanon U23
10 Jan
Iran U23
0 : 0
Uzbekistan U23
Page 1 of 6

Thailand U23

(Away)
23 Sept
Japan U23
3 : 0
Thailand U23
20 Sept
Hong Kong U23
1 : 5
Thailand U23
16 Sept
Thailand U23
3 : 2
Kyrgyzstan U23
09 Jun
Thailand U23
2 : 5
United Arab Emirates U23
06 Jun
Thailand U23
2 : 3
South Korea U23
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
China U23 1
Qatar U23 0
South Korea U23 5
Kyrgyzstan U23 1
Uzbekistan U23 2
Indonesia U23 0
India U23 0
Saudi Arabia U23 2
Iran U23 2
Thailand U23 0
Hong Kong U23 1
Palestine U23 0
Japan U23 7
Myanmar U23 0
North Korea U23 2
Bahrain U23 0
Quarter-finals
China U23 0
South Korea U23 2
Uzbekistan U23 2
Saudi Arabia U23 1
Iran U23 0
Hong Kong U23 1
Japan U23 2
North Korea U23 1
Semi-finals
South Korea U23 2
Uzbekistan U23 1
Hong Kong U23 0
Japan U23 4
Final
South Korea U23 2
Japan U23 1
Uzbekistan U23 4
Hong Kong U23 0