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Iran vs Mali

World World

Friendly International Antalya Training Camp, Antalya
2 - 0
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Ezatolahi S.
55' Event
Rezaeian R.

AI Match Summary

Iran in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iran.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Iran
35%
Draws
23%
Mali
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Iran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Mali haven't matched Iran's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Iran taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Iran Clean Sheet 68%
Mali Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iran Mali
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 7 11
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.79 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.82 0.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 Friendly International
Iran vs Mali
2:0
Oct 13, 2020 Friendly International
Mali vs Iran
0:0
Dec 30, 2009 Friendly International
Iran vs Mali
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iran Compare

Top Goalscorer Ezatolahi S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rezaeian R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Mali Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iran 86 / 100
Mali 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iran Mali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iran Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Iran stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Iran found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Mali's defensive record shows goals conceded in 43% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Iran VS Mali
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Iran

(Home)
27 Jun
Egypt
1 : 1
Iran
21 Jun
Belgium
0 : 0
Iran
16 Jun
Iran
2 : 2
New Zealand
04 Jun
Iran
2 : 0
Mali
29 May
Iran
3 : 1
Gambia
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Mali

(Away)
04 Jun
Iran
2 : 0
Mali
31 Mar
Russia
0 : 0
Mali
09 Jan
Mali
0 : 1
Senegal
03 Jan
Mali
2 : 1
Tunisia
29 Dec
Comoros
0 : 0
Mali
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