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Iranduba vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amazonense 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iranduba play Nacional-AM (Manaus) in the Campeonato Amazonense 2022. Nacional-AM (Manaus) are favorites here. Recently, Iranduba averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Nacional-AM (Manaus) averaged 2.5 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. In past meetings, Iranduba won 1, Nacional-AM (Manaus) won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 4, 2023 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Iranduba and 1.00 for Nacional-AM (Manaus). This points to a Nacional-AM (Manaus) double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Iranduba
6%
Draws
90%
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nacional-AM (Manaus)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nacional-AM (Manaus) has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Iranduba.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Nacional-AM (Manaus).
  • Cup tournament structure in Campeonato Amazonense 2022 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Iranduba Clean Sheet 23%
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iranduba Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Matches Played 26 49
Wins 4 28
Draws 8 11
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0 2.5
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2023 Amazonense
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Iranduba
1:1
Mar 19, 2022 Amazonense
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Iranduba
2:0
Mar 13, 2022 Amazonense
Iranduba vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1:2
Jan 30, 2022 Amazonense
Iranduba vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1:0
Mar 11, 2021 Amazonense
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Iranduba
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iranduba Compare

Top Goalscorer Dan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Nacional-AM (Manaus) Compare

Top Goalscorer Jo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thiago Spice
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iranduba 10 / 100
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iranduba Nacional-AM (Manaus)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iranduba scored in 65% of their last 26 games.

Nacional-AM (Manaus) let in goals in 71% of their last 49 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Iranduba went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Nacional-AM (Manaus) lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Nacional-AM (Manaus)4
Iranduba1
Manaus FC2
Manauara2
Princesa do Solimoes2
Operario Esporte Clube2
Fast Clube2
Amazonas1
Semi-finals
Nacional-AM (Manaus)2
Manaus FC3
Princesa do Solimoes3
Fast Clube2
Final
Manaus FC4
Princesa do Solimoes2