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Irapuato vs Deportiva Venados - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Primera Premier
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Irapuato host Deportiva Venados in the Primera Premier. This one's hard to separate. Irapuato have averaged 1.69 scored and 1.34 conceded recently, against Deportiva Venados's 2.23 scored and 1.23 conceded. Past meetings favor Irapuato slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2025, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.19, favoring Deportiva Venados. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Irapuato
15%
Draws
18%
Deportiva Venados
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Irapuato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Deportiva Venados have won more games recently than Irapuato.
  • Model gives Irapuato a 67% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Irapuato Clean Sheet 20%
Deportiva Venados Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Irapuato Deportiva Venados
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 17
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.69 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Irapuato vs Deportiva Venados
3:1
Nov 16, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Deportiva Venados vs Irapuato
1:1
Mar 7, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Irapuato vs Deportiva Venados
2:0
Oct 4, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Deportiva Venados vs Irapuato
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Irapuato 85 / 100
Deportiva Venados 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Irapuato Deportiva Venados

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Irapuato Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Solid form: Irapuato remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Irapuato's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Deportiva Venados's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Irapuato VS Deportiva Venados
2 Goals Scored 1.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Irapuato

(Home)
18 Oct
Irapuato
2 : 0
Zacatepec
11 Oct
Irapuato
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
27 Sept
Irapuato
3 : 0
Lobos ULMX
22 Sept
Reboceros de La Piedad
2 : 3
Irapuato
13 Sept
Irapuato
2 : 1
Tigres de Alica
Page 1 of 6

Deportiva Venados

(Away)
20 Oct
Tapachula
1 : 4
Deportiva Venados
10 Oct
Deportiva Venados
1 : 4
Pioneros
03 Oct
Inter Playa Del Carmen
3 : 1
Deportiva Venados
26 Sept
Deportiva Venados
2 : 3
Celaya
19 Sept
Racing de Veracruz
3 : 3
Deportiva Venados
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 7 7 0 0 16:4 22
2 Tigres de Alica 8 4 2 2 13:7 14
3 Reboceros de La Piedad 7 5 0 2 12:11 14
4 Zacatepec 7 3 1 3 8:9 11
5 Los Cabos United 7 3 0 4 7:9 9
6 Lobos ULMX 7 2 1 4 7:11 7
7 Cordobes FC 7 2 1 4 5:9 7
8 Purepechas 6 1 1 4 3:7 4
9 Tritones Vallarta 6 0 2 4 3:7 2
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 7 5 2 0 19:7 19
2 Pioneros 7 5 1 1 18:7 17
3 Celaya 7 4 1 2 11:7 13
4 Jaguares De Chiapas 7 3 2 2 6:5 12
5 Deportiva Venados 7 2 2 3 14:14 9
6 Montaneses 8 3 1 4 12:15 9
7 Chapulineros 7 2 2 3 9:14 8
8 Inter Playa Del Carmen 7 1 1 5 6:13 4
9 Tapachula 7 1 0 6 7:20 3
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)