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Irapuato vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction & H2H Stats

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Alvarado R.
41' Event
Ledezma R.
46' Event
Inda S.

AI Match Summary

Guadalajara Chivas in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guadalajara Chivas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Irapuato
20%
Draws
28%
Guadalajara Chivas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Irapuato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Guadalajara Chivas have won more games recently than Irapuato.
  • Win probability leans Irapuato's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Guadalajara Chivas here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Irapuato Clean Sheet 20%
Guadalajara Chivas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Irapuato Guadalajara Chivas
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.72 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.58 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 28, 2025 Club Friendly
Irapuato vs Guadalajara Chivas
0:4
Mar 4, 2015 Copa Mexico
Guadalajara Chivas vs Irapuato
1:0
Feb 25, 2015 Copa Mexico
Irapuato vs Guadalajara Chivas
0:1
Mar 6, 2004 Liga MX
Guadalajara Chivas vs Irapuato
2:0
Sep 24, 2003 Liga MX
Irapuato vs Guadalajara Chivas
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Irapuato Compare

Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.79

Guadalajara Chivas Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarado R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ledezma R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Irapuato 67 / 100
Guadalajara Chivas 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Irapuato Guadalajara Chivas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Irapuato Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Irapuato stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Irapuato scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Guadalajara Chivas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Irapuato VS Guadalajara Chivas
2.17 Goals Scored 1.5
0.67 Goals Conceded 1
83% Over 1.5 63%
83% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Irapuato

(Home)
27 Sept
Irapuato
3 : 0
Lobos ULMX
22 Sept
Reboceros de La Piedad
2 : 3
Irapuato
13 Sept
Irapuato
2 : 1
Tigres de Alica
05 Sept
Cordobes FC
0 : 3
Irapuato
30 Aug
Irapuato
2 : 1
Los Cabos United
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Guadalajara Chivas

(Away)
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
0 : 2
Queretaro
20 Sept
Club America
2 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas
14 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
3 : 0
UNAM Pumas
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis
0 : 3
Guadalajara Chivas
29 Aug
Pachuca
1 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas
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