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Asia

AFC Championship U19 2018

Afghanistan U19

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Iraq U19 play Afghanistan U19 in the AFC Championship U19 2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Iraq U19 averaged 1.81 goals scored and 1.08 conceded. Afghanistan U19 averaged 0.75 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Iraq U19 won 0, Afghanistan U19 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 4, 2017 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.52 for Iraq U19 and 0.83 for Afghanistan U19. This points to a Iraq U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Iraq U19

31%

Draws

18%

Afghanistan U19

Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Iraq U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Iraq U19 picked up more points recently compared to Afghanistan U19.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.52 vs 0.83 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 49%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%

Iraq U19 Clean Sheet 26%

Afghanistan U19 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Iraq U19	Afghanistan U19
Matches Played	26	16
Wins	10	2
Draws	10	3
Losses	6	11
Goals Scored	1.81	0.75
Goals Conceded	1.08	2.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2017 AFC Championship U19

Iraq U19 vs Afghanistan U19

Possession: 42% - 44% Cards: 3 - 4

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraq U19 51 / 100

Afghanistan U19 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Iraq U19 Afghanistan U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Iraq U19 or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18.8%

2.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Iraq U19 attacking → ← attacking Afghanistan U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iraq U19 scored in 77% of their last 26 games.

Afghanistan U19 let in goals in 88% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Iraq U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Afghanistan U19 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 9

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.67

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.67

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	United Arab Emirates U19	4	3	0	1	10:3	9
2	Oman U19	4	2	1	1	10:6	7
3	Bahrain U19	4	2	1	1	7:3	7
4	Kyrgyzstan U19	4	2	0	2	5:8	6
5	Nepal U19	4	0	0	4	0:12	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tajikistan U19	4	3	1	0	12:0	10
2	Uzbekistan U19	4	3	0	1	17:1	9
3	Bangladesh U19	4	2	1	1	5:1	7
4	Maldives U19	4	0	1	3	2:14	1
5	Sri Lanka U19	4	0	1	3	2:22	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Qatar U19	2	1	1	0	3:1	4
2	Iraq U19	2	1	1	0	3:1	4
3	Lebanon U19	2	0	0	2	0:4	0
4	Afghanistan U19	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Saudi Arabia U19	3	3	0	0	8:1	9
2	Yemen U19	3	1	1	1	4:2	4
3	India U19	3	1	1	1	3:5	4
4	Turkmenistan U19	3	0	0	3	0:7	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Jordan U19	3	2	1	0	4:1	7
2	Iran U19	3	1	2	0	5:1	5
3	Syria U19	3	1	1	1	5:5	4
4	Palestine U19	3	0	0	3	2:9	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Korea U19	4	4	0	0	22:0	12
2	Malaysia U19	4	3	0	1	8:5	9
3	Indonesia U19	4	2	0	2	11:8	6
4	Timor-Leste U19	4	0	1	3	3:14	1
5	Brunei U19	4	0	1	3	2:19	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	China U19	3	3	0	0	8:0	9
2	Cambodia U19	3	1	1	1	3:3	4
3	Myanmar U19	3	1	0	2	8:4	3
4	Philippines U19	3	0	1	2	0:12	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vietnam U19	3	3	0	8:1	9
2	Chinese Taipei U19	3	2	1	5:2	6
3	Macau U19	3	1	2	1:4	3
4	Laos U19	3	0	3	0:7	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Japan U19	3	3	0	16:1	9
2	Thailand U19	3	2	1	9:5	6
3	Mongolia U19	3	1	2	6:14	3
4	Singapore U19	3	0	3	3:14	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Australia U19	2	2	0	7:1	6
2	North Korea U19	2	1	1	6:5	3
3	Hong Kong U19	2	0	2	1:8	0
4	Northern Mariana Islands U19	0	0	0	0:0	0