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Iraq U19 vs Bahrain U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

AFC Championship U19
Wed, Mar 3, 2021
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iraq U19 host Bahrain U19 in the AFC Championship U19. This one's hard to separate. Iraq U19 have averaged 1.74 scored and 1.04 conceded recently, against Bahrain U19's 1.5 scored and 1.42 conceded. Past meetings favor Iraq U19 slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 3, 2021, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 0.56) point toward Iraq U19. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Iraq U19
35%
Draws
9%
Bahrain U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Iraq U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Iraq U19 lately — more wins on the board than Bahrain U19.
  • Model gives Iraq U19 a 56% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Iraq U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Bahrain U19 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iraq U19 Bahrain U19
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 10 9
Draws 11 4
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.74 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2021 AFC Championship U19
Iraq U19 vs Bahrain U19
0:0
Oct 6, 2015 AFC Championship U19
Iraq U19 vs Bahrain U19
4:1
Oct 3, 2010 AFC Championship U19
Iraq U19 vs Bahrain U19
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraq U19 85 / 100
Bahrain U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iraq U19 Bahrain U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iraq U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iraq U19's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Bahrain U19 let in goals in 77% of their last 26 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Iraq U19 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iraq U19 VS Bahrain U19
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Iraq U19

(Home)
28 Feb
Egypt U19
1 : 0
Iraq U19
24 Feb
Egypt U19
1 : 1
Iraq U19
30 Jun
Lebanon U19
0 : 2
Iraq U19
28 Jun
Albania U19
1 : 1
Iraq U19
26 Jun
Iraq U19
0 : 0
Jordan U19
Page 1 of 6

Bahrain U19

(Away)
23 Aug
Saudi Arabia U19
2 : 1
Bahrain U19
18 Nov
Saudi Arabia U19
1 : 0
Bahrain U19
30 Jun
Syria U19
3 : 1
Bahrain U19
28 Jun
Palestine U19
1 : 1
Bahrain U19
26 Jun
Bahrain U19
1 : 3
United Arab Emirates U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U19 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Iran U19 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Cambodia U19 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Indonesia U19 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U19 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 South Korea U19 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Bahrain U19 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Iraq U19 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U19 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Saudi Arabia U19 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Vietnam U19 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Laos U19 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen U19 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Qatar U19 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Tajikistan U19 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Malaysia U19 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Championship U19 (Play Offs)