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Iraq U20 vs Thailand U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U20 Chonburi Daikin Stadium, Chonburi
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Malik M.
19' Event
Al Talebi G.
45' Event
Malik M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Iraq U20
20%
Draws
33%
Thailand U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Iraq U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Iraq U20 lately — more wins on the board than Thailand U20.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Iraq U20 taking it.
  • Iraq U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Iraq U20, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Iraq U20 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Iraq U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Thailand U20 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iraq U20 Thailand U20
Matches Played 29 17
Wins 16 7
Draws 6 2
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.62 2
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U20
Iraq U20 vs Thailand U20
3:1
Jan 25, 2025 Friendly International
Thailand U20 vs Iraq U20
0:1
Sep 29, 2024 AFC Asian Cup U20
Iraq U20 vs Thailand U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iraq U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Malik M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Al Talebi G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Thailand U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Katip C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraq U20 95 / 100
Thailand U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iraq U20 Thailand U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iraq U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iraq U20 scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Thailand U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 17 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Iraq U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Iraq U20 VS Thailand U20
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 33%
25% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Iraq U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Iraq U20
3 : 1
Thailand U20
03 Sept
United Arab Emirates U20
1 : 2
Iraq U20
31 Aug
Iraq U20
1 : 2
Turkmenistan U20
25 Aug
Iran U20
0 : 0
Iraq U20
22 Aug
Indonesia U20
1 : 2
Iraq U20
Page 1 of 6

Thailand U20

(Away)
06 Sept
Iraq U20
3 : 1
Thailand U20
03 Sept
Turkmenistan U20
0 : 1
Thailand U20
31 Aug
Thailand U20
1 : 0
United Arab Emirates U20
20 Feb
Syria U20
2 : 2
Thailand U20
17 Feb
Thailand U20
1 : 4
South Korea U20
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U20 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Lebanon U20 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
3 Kyrgyzstan U20 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
4 Philippines U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U20 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 India U20 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
3 Syria U20 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Bangladesh U20 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U20 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Iran U20 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Palestine U20 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Vietnam U20 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan U20 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
2 Jordan U20 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Afghanistan U20 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Bahrain U20 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U20 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Oman U20 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 Qatar U20 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
4 Hong Kong U20 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U20 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
2 Thailand U20 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
3 United Arab Emirates U20 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Turkmenistan U20 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U20 3 3 0 0 16:0 9
2 Kuwait U20 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
3 Yemen U20 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Cambodia U20 3 1 0 2 2:14 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U20 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Malaysia U20 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 Australia U20 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Laos U20 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mongolia U20 2 2 0 0 10:0 6
2 Guam U20 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Northern Mariana Islands U20 2 0 0 2 0:10 0
4 Nepal U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chinese Taipei U20 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Singapore U20 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Bhutan U20 3 1 0 2 9:5 3
4 Macau U20 3 0 0 3 0:13 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Myanmar U20 3 3 0 0 17:0 9
2 Maldives U20 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
3 Sri Lanka U20 3 1 0 2 2:8 3
4 Brunei U20 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)