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Iraq U20 vs Turkmenistan U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U20 Chonburi Daikin Stadium, Chonburi
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Govshudov Y.
(Penalty)
59' Event
Malik M.
77' Event
Orazdurdyyev V.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Iraq U20
15%
Draws
20%
Turkmenistan U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iraq U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Iraq U20 have won more games recently than Turkmenistan U20.
  • Win probability leans Iraq U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Iraq U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Turkmenistan U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Iraq U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Turkmenistan U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iraq U20 Turkmenistan U20
Matches Played 28 18
Wins 15 5
Draws 6 1
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.61 1.56
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U20
Iraq U20 vs Turkmenistan U20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iraq U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Malik M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Turkmenistan U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Orazdurdyyev V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.7
Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraq U20 85 / 100
Turkmenistan U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iraq U20 Turkmenistan U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iraq U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turkmenistan U20 let in goals in 94% of their last 18 matches.

Iraq U20's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Iraq U20 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iraq U20 VS Turkmenistan U20
0.63 Goals Scored 1.29
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.71
25% Over 1.5 86%
13% Over 2.5 71%
0% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Iraq U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Iraq U20
3 : 1
Thailand U20
03 Sept
United Arab Emirates U20
1 : 2
Iraq U20
31 Aug
Iraq U20
1 : 2
Turkmenistan U20
25 Aug
Iran U20
0 : 0
Iraq U20
22 Aug
Indonesia U20
1 : 2
Iraq U20
Page 1 of 6

Turkmenistan U20

(Away)
06 Sept
United Arab Emirates U20
3 : 2
Turkmenistan U20
03 Sept
Turkmenistan U20
0 : 1
Thailand U20
31 Aug
Iraq U20
1 : 2
Turkmenistan U20
19 May
Turkmenistan U20
0 : 2
Uzbekistan U20
15 May
Kyrgyzstan U20
2 : 1
Turkmenistan U20
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U20 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Lebanon U20 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
3 Kyrgyzstan U20 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
4 Philippines U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U20 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 India U20 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
3 Syria U20 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Bangladesh U20 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U20 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Iran U20 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Palestine U20 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Vietnam U20 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan U20 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
2 Jordan U20 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Afghanistan U20 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Bahrain U20 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U20 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Oman U20 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 Qatar U20 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
4 Hong Kong U20 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U20 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
2 Thailand U20 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
3 United Arab Emirates U20 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Turkmenistan U20 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U20 3 3 0 0 16:0 9
2 Kuwait U20 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
3 Yemen U20 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Cambodia U20 3 1 0 2 2:14 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U20 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Malaysia U20 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 Australia U20 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Laos U20 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mongolia U20 2 2 0 0 10:0 6
2 Guam U20 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Northern Mariana Islands U20 2 0 0 2 0:10 0
4 Nepal U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chinese Taipei U20 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Singapore U20 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Bhutan U20 3 1 0 2 9:5 3
4 Macau U20 3 0 0 3 0:13 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Myanmar U20 3 3 0 0 17:0 9
2 Maldives U20 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
3 Sri Lanka U20 3 1 0 2 2:8 3
4 Brunei U20 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)