Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Sub
Bao Shimeng In: Yang A.
Out: Bao Shimeng
48'
48'
Yusup Umidjan
55'
55'
Yang A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-0. The second leg ended 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
10%
35%
55%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: China U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
55%
/ Medium Confidence
- China U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
- 55% — that's where the model lands on China U23 taking it.
- China U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Iraq U23 Clean Sheet 18%
China U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Iraq U23 | China U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 18 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 0.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 8, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U23
Iraq U23 vs China U23
0:0
Aug 19, 2018 Asian Games
Iraq U23 vs China U23
0:0
Nov 29, 2006 Asian Games
China U23 vs Iraq U23
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Iraq U23 10 / 100
China U23 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Iraq U23 China U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick China U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Iraq U23 found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
China U23 let in goals in 48% of their last 31 matches.
H2H data points to 0.33 goals as a typical output.
Iraq U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Iraq U23 VS China U23
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
33% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Iraq U23
(Home) 09 Jun
Russia U21
1 : 0 Iraq U23
05 Jun
Russia U21
5 : 1 Iraq U23
14 Jan
Iraq U23
1 : 2 Australia U23
11 Jan
Thailand U23
1 : 1 Iraq U23
08 Jan
Iraq U23
0 : 0 China U23
Page 1 of 6
14 Jan
Iraq U23
1 : 2 Australia U23
08 Jan
Iraq U23
0 : 0 China U23
14 Dec
Iraq U23
2 : 1 Qatar U23
10 Dec
Iraq U23
1 : 0 United Arab Emirates U23
04 Dec
Iraq U23
1 : 2 Yemen U23
Page 1 of 3
China U23
(Away) 23 Sept
China U23
0 : 0 United Arab Emirates U23
20 Sept
Iran U23
0 : 0 China U23
16 Sept
China U23
2 : 1 North Korea U23
10 Sept
China U23
2 : 0 Uzbekistan U23
09 Jun
China U23
3 : 0 Tajikistan U23
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Iran U23
0 : 0 China U23
20 Jan
Vietnam U23
0 : 3 China U23
17 Jan
Uzbekistan U23
0 : 1 China U23
14 Jan
Thailand U23
0 : 0 China U23
08 Jan
Iraq U23
0 : 0 China U23
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vietnam U23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Jordan U23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia U23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Kyrgyzstan U23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:4 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Japan U23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 9 |
| 2 | United Arab Emirates U23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 3 | Syria U23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar U23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:5 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uzbekistan U23 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 2 | South Korea U23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 3 | Lebanon U23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 4 | Iran U23 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | 2 |
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Australia U23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 2 | China U23 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1:0 | 5 |
| 3 | Iraq U23 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 4 | Thailand U23 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Play Offs)
