Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iraq U23 vs Indonesia U23

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 Abdullah bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
Thu, May 2, 2024
2 - 1
03:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Jenner I.
22'
Tahseen Z.
27' Event
Tahseen Z.
Assist: Muhammad N.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Iraq U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Iraq U23
35%
Draws
32%
Indonesia U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Iraq U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on Indonesia U23 taking it.
  • Iraq U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Iraq U23, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Iraq U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Indonesia U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iraq U23 Indonesia U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.33 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.27 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 0.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2024 AFC Asian Cup U23
Iraq U23 vs Indonesia U23
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iraq U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tahseen Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jasim A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Indonesia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jenner I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraq U23 16 / 100
Indonesia U23 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iraq U23 Indonesia U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indonesia U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Iraq U23 scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Indonesia U23 let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Indonesia U23 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iraq U23 VS Indonesia U23
1 Goals Scored 0.8
1 Goals Conceded 1.8
63% Over 1.5 80%
38% Over 2.5 60%
13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Iraq U23

(Home)
09 Jun
Russia U21
1 : 0
Iraq U23
05 Jun
Russia U21
5 : 1
Iraq U23
14 Jan
Iraq U23
1 : 2
Australia U23
11 Jan
Thailand U23
1 : 1
Iraq U23
08 Jan
Iraq U23
0 : 0
China U23
Page 1 of 6

Indonesia U23

(Away)
18 Nov
Indonesia U23
2 : 2
Mali U23
15 Nov
Indonesia U23
0 : 3
Mali U23
13 Oct
Indonesia U23
1 : 1
India U23
10 Oct
Indonesia U23
1 : 2
India U23
09 Sept
South Korea U23
1 : 0
Indonesia U23
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Qatar U23 2
Japan U23 4
Iraq U23 1
Vietnam U23 0
South Korea U23 2
Indonesia U23 3
Uzbekistan U23 2
Saudi Arabia U23 0
Semi-finals
Japan U23 2
Iraq U23 0
Indonesia U23 0
Uzbekistan U23 2
Final
Japan U23 1
Uzbekistan U23 0
Iraq U23 2
Indonesia U23 1